Sat, Feb 25, 2017·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 4, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 08 | 28 | 210 | 426 |
| VAN | 014 | 116 | 06 | 136 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:31SJSTomas HertlAssists: Chris Tierney, Joel Ward · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 12:02VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 19:04SJSPatrick MarleauGWGAssists: David Schlemko, Chris Tierney · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–1
- P3 11:31SJSMikkel BoedkerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–1
- P3 14:20SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Brent Burns, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–1
Penalties (5)
- P2 6:39SJSPatrick Marleau: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:58SJSMicheal Haley: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:08VANJoseph LaBate: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:08SJSBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:44VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Tierney won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestWard – Hertl – Tierney13:45
xG 0.52–0.27 (66%)attempts 13–10goals 1–1
- Thornton – Pavelski – Labanc12:03
xG 0.33–0.26 (56%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Haley – Goodrow – Karlsson10:11
xG 0.20–0.40 (34%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Boedker11:27
xG 0.27–0.52 (35%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Schlemko2:13
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Schlemko – Dillon12:24
xG 0.29–0.13 (69%)attempts 7–9goals 2–0
- Burns – Dillon2:35
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Hansen – Horvat13:20
xG 0.61–0.15 (80%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
- Sutter – LaBate – Megna7:31
xG 0.32–0.15 (69%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows14:35
xG 0.70–0.64 (52%)attempts 14–16goals 1–1
- Sutter – Boucher – Megna2:48
xG 0.03–0.15 (18%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Larsen15:29
xG 0.74–0.45 (62%)attempts 24–14goals 0–0
- Hutton – McEneny10:52
xG 0.28–0.22 (56%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
- Edler – Biega3:30
xG 0.18–0.15 (54%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).