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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 5, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

St. Louis Blues 3, Colorado Avalanche 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 52% of the time.

COL winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Schwartz, saved by Smith
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Allen
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Barberio, saved by Allen
  5. P1 2:59Bourque: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · STL Stastny, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Edmundson, Parayko

  6. P1 3:56Goal by Stastny (Schwartz, Pietrangelo)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene · STL Steen, Stastny, Pietrangelo, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  7. P1 5:27Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Smith
  8. P1 5:33Goal by Upshall (Reaves)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Johnson, Duchene, Andrighetto, Rantanen · STL Upshall, Brodziak, Reaves, Gunnarsson, Schmaltz

  9. P1 6:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Allen
  10. P1 10:19Shot by Compher, saved by Allen
  11. P1 10:22Shot by Comeau, saved by Allen
  12. P1 11:14Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Allen
  13. P1 12:12Shot by Upshall, saved by Smith
  14. P1 12:59Shot by Rantanen, saved by Allen
  15. P1 13:32Soderberg: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Barberio, Nieto, Grigorenko, Compher · STL Lehtera, Paajarvi, Edmundson, Yakupov, Parayko

  16. P1 14:15Shot by Schwartz, saved by Smith4v5
  17. P1 15:43Shot by Nieto, saved by Allen
  18. P1 18:26Shot by Brodziak, saved by Smith
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:07Shot by Bourque, saved by Allen
  22. P2 1:36Shot by Landeskog, saved by Allen
  23. P2 2:20Shot by Comeau, saved by Allen
  24. P2 3:14Shot by Soderberg, saved by Allen
  25. P2 4:20Shot by Bourque, saved by Allen
  26. P2 5:15Shot by Upshall, saved by Smith
  27. P2 5:51Shot by Schwartz, saved by Smith
  28. P2 6:57Shot by Parayko, saved by Smith
  29. P2 7:50Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Smith
  30. P2 8:30Shot by Bourque, saved by Allen
  31. P2 8:35Comeau: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Comeau, Johnson, Barrie, Compher · STL Upshall, Brodziak, Reaves, Gunnarsson, Parayko

  32. P2 8:52Shot by Duchene, saved by Allen4v5
  33. P2 10:11Goal by Berglund (Parayko, Perron)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Mitchell, Johnson, Landeskog · STL Berglund, Perron, Yakupov, Schmaltz, Parayko

  34. P2 12:10Shot by Stastny, saved by Smith
  35. P2 12:23Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Smith
  36. P2 13:22Shot by Barrie, saved by Allen
  37. P2 14:34Lehtera: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon · STL Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Paajarvi, Yakupov

  38. P2 15:15Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Allen5v4
  39. P2 16:30Shot by Edmundson, saved by Smith5v4
  40. P2 17:17Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Smith
  41. P2 18:28Comeau: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Comeau, Johnson, Barrie, Compher · STL Steen, Stastny, Perron, Gunnarsson, Schmaltz

  42. P2 18:42Shot by Steen, saved by Smith4v5
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 2:24Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Allen
  46. P3 4:01Shot by Schwartz, saved by Smith
  47. P3 4:20Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Smith
  48. P3 5:06Shot by Comeau, saved by Allen
  49. P3 5:56Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Smith
  50. P3 6:21Shot by Nieto, saved by Allen
  51. P3 6:30Shot by Berglund, saved by Smith
  52. P3 10:19Shot by Tyutin, saved by Allen
  53. P3 11:02Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Smith
  54. P3 12:51Shot by Soderberg, saved by Allen
  55. P3 14:33Shot by Lehtera, saved by Smith
  56. P3 16:17Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Allen
  57. P3 16:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Allen
  58. P3 16:52Shot by Landeskog, saved by Allen
  59. P3 17:10Shot by Brodziak, saved by Smith
  60. P3 18:18Shot by Barberio, saved by Allen
  61. P3 19:14Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Smith
  62. P3 19:27Shot by Bourque, saved by Allen
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final