Tue, Mar 28, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Winnipeg Jets 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 17 | 118 | 19 | 02 | 1 | 436 |
| NJD | 27 | 18 | 05 | 03 | 0 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:52WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Blake Wheeler, Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 8:10NJDBeau BennettAssists: Pavel Zacha, Dalton Prout · Slap, 0.56 xG1–1
- P1 12:07NJDTaylor HallAssists: Travis Zajac · Snap, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 15:27NJDStefan NoesenAssists: Blake Pietila · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P2 16:36WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Julian Melchiori, Mark Scheifele · Snap, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 2:40WPGJoel ArmiaSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.12 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD John Quenneville stopped
- 2. WPG Mark Scheifele stopped
- 3. NJD Taylor Hall stopped
- 4. WPG Patrik Laine scored
- 5. NJD Pavel Zacha stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:17NJDBlake Coleman: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:29WPGAndrew Copp: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:58NJDMiles Wood: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 12:54WPGMark Stuart: Holding2 min
- P2 19:50NJDBlake Coleman: Interference2 min
- P3 1:39WPGMark Scheifele: Hooking2 min
- OT 4:29WPGBlake Wheeler: Tripping2 min
- OT 5:00WPGJacob Trouba: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers12:53
xG 0.81–0.21 (79%)attempts 13–10goals 2–0
- Thorburn – Petan – Tanev4:57
xG 0.37–0.10 (79%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Lowry – Armia – Copp10:00
xG 0.06–0.15 (27%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Little – Perreault – Laine11:02
xG 0.18–1.36 (12%)attempts 8–11goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- Stuart – Nogier12:46
xG 0.32–0.28 (54%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Byfuglien – Melchiori16:33
xG 0.95–1.10 (46%)attempts 14–12goals 2–1
- Trouba – Morrissey16:46
xG 0.51–0.66 (44%)attempts 15–16goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBennett – Quenneville – Zacha6:40
xG 1.01–0.46 (69%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Pietila – Coleman – Noesen10:24
xG 0.42–0.11 (79%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Henrique – Blandisi – Wood7:16
xG 0.11–0.22 (34%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Zajac – Palmieri – Hall13:13
xG 0.34–0.57 (38%)attempts 9–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Prout8:28
xG 0.89–0.35 (72%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
- Greene – Lovejoy5:33
xG 0.11–0.09 (53%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Prout – Santini3:49
xG 0.04–0.03 (56%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).