Sat, Mar 25, 2017·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Florida Panthers 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 08 | 08 | 025 |
| FLA | 08 | 314 | 49 | 731 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:17FLAAleksander BarkovGWGAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 10:21FLAJonathan HuberdeauPPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Keith Yandle · Slap, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 11:40FLAJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Jonathan Huberdeau · Snap, 0.04 xG0–3
- P3 4:59FLAJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Colton Sceviour · Slap, 0.07 xG0–4
- P3 7:13FLAJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Vincent Trocheck · Slap, 0.10 xG0–5
- P3 7:53FLANick BjugstadAssists: Colton Sceviour, Mark Pysyk · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–6
- P3 11:45FLAReilly SmithAssists: Vincent Trocheck · Slap, 0.30 xG0–7
Penalties (18)
- P1 6:27CHIAndrew Desjardins: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:10FLAJonathan Marchessault: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:58CHIRichard Panik: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:58FLAVincent Trocheck: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:20CHIRyan Hartman: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:20CHIRyan Hartman: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 9:38CHIMarcus Kruger: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 12:23FLAVincent Trocheck: Interference2 min
- P2 14:45FLAJussi Jokinen: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:45CHIPatrick Kane: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:15FLAJonathan Marchessault: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:33CHIMarcus Kruger: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 6:19FLAShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:19CHIAndrew Desjardins: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:19CHIRichard Panik: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:19FLADerek MacKenzie: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:19CHIRichard Panik: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 6:19FLADerek MacKenzie: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDesjardins – Rasmussen – Kero2:42
xG 0.38–0.03 (92%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Kane – Schmaltz – Panarin8:18
xG 0.35–0.15 (70%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Hossa – Kruger – Hartman6:55
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Toews – Panik – Hayden6:09
xG 0.38–0.25 (60%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Seabrook7:42
xG 0.22–0.01 (95%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Oduya – van Riemsdyk2:21
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook3:42
xG 0.19–0.08 (70%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestVanek – Bjugstad – Marchessault3:44
xG 0.29–0.00 (99%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Smith – Trocheck8:09
xG 0.45–0.27 (62%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Vanek – Huberdeau – Barkov2:00
xG 0.10–0.06 (63%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Vanek – Sceviour – Bjugstad2:48
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKindl – Pysyk14:08
xG 0.63–0.49 (56%)attempts 13–13goals 2–0
- Yandle – Demers9:55
xG 0.43–0.38 (53%)attempts 5–13goals 1–0
- Petrovic – Matheson14:05
xG 0.20–0.71 (22%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).