Fri, Mar 31, 2017·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 111 | 08 | 014 | 133 |
| CHI | 29 | 08 | 17 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:32CHIArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 17:15CBJNick FolignoAssists: Sam Gagner, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 17:37CHIMarian HossaGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 19:16CHIArtemi PanarinENAssists: Patrick Kane, Tanner Kero · Wrist, 0.70 xG1–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:28CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:31CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:08CBJKyle Quincey: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:21CBJBoone Jenner: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:21CHIRyan Hartman: Embellishment2 min
- P1 0:00CBJNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:54CHIJordin Tootoo: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:25CHIJohnny Oduya: Holding2 min
- P3 9:15CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Gagner – Sedlak3:46
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Jenner – Saad – Wennberg8:06
xG 0.26–0.23 (53%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Foligno – Atkinson9:10
xG 0.29–0.26 (53%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Gagner – Karlsson2:43
xG 0.01–0.01 (42%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard16:52
xG 0.64–0.44 (59%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski14:52
xG 0.50–0.32 (61%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Quincey – Nutivaara9:27
xG 0.15–0.99 (13%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Kero – Panarin9:37
xG 0.78–0.49 (61%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Hossa – Kruger – Hartman7:47
xG 0.44–0.22 (66%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Tootoo – Hayden – Rasmussen6:26
xG 0.10–0.09 (53%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Toews – Panik – Schmaltz9:44
xG 0.32–0.35 (48%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – van Riemsdyk13:38
xG 0.69–0.52 (57%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Oduya – Seabrook12:03
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Hjalmarsson13:28
xG 0.50–0.49 (51%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).