Sat, Apr 1, 2017·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New Jersey Devils 0, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 010 | 010 | 012 | 032 |
| PHI | 216 | 19 | 016 | 341 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:28PHIBrayden SchennPPGWGAssists: Claude Giroux, Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.43 xG0–1
- P1 11:28PHIColin McDonaldAssists: Chris VandeVelde, Radko Gudas · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–2
- P2 10:06PHIJordan WealPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Michael Del Zotto · Snap, 0.22 xG0–3
Penalties (19)
- P1 1:51PHIMichael Del Zotto: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:29NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:41NJDBeau Bennett: Holding2 min
- P1 17:35PHIShayne Gostisbehere: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:58NJDBlake Coleman: Interference2 min
- P2 7:59NJDDalton Prout: Interference5 min · PPG
- P2 7:59NJDDalton Prout: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:59NJDDalton Prout: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 7:59PHIWayne Simmonds: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:18PHIDale Weise: Boarding5 min
- P2 8:18PHIDale Weise: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 8:18NJDTravis Zajac: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:52PHIRadko Gudas: Holding2 min
- P3 7:46NJDAdam Henrique: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 7:46PHIBrandon Manning: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:19NJDMiles Wood: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:19PHIWayne Simmonds: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:19NJDMiles Wood: Misconduct10 min
- P3 10:19PHIWayne Simmonds: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Henrique – Quenneville6:36
xG 0.77–0.09 (90%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Noesen – Blandisi – Zacha6:47
xG 0.50–0.35 (59%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
- Bennett – Coleman – Wood5:04
xG 0.14–0.54 (21%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Zajac – Palmieri – Hall7:41
xG 0.19–0.65 (23%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson2:07
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Kapla4:13
xG 0.28–0.13 (69%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Severson – Kapla4:58
xG 0.59–0.45 (57%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestWeise – Schenn – Couturier4:48
xG 0.61–0.28 (68%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Filppula – Simmonds – Weal8:04
xG 0.29–0.14 (67%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- McDonald – VandeVelde – Bellemare6:36
xG 0.41–0.30 (57%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Konecny8:13
xG 0.31–0.88 (26%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMacDonald – Provorov7:20
xG 0.86–0.30 (74%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Manning – Provorov3:54
xG 0.37–0.15 (71%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Provorov2:49
xG 0.21–0.04 (85%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).