Sun, Apr 2, 2017·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 211 | 012 | 16 | 329 |
| CHI | 016 | 111 | 116 | 243 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:34BOSRyan SpoonerAssists: Zdeno Chara, Brandon Carlo · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 18:57BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 18:12CHIArtemi PanarinAssists: Richard Panik, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–1
- P3 9:15BOSKevan MillerGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.00 xG3–1
- P3 9:40CHIJordin TootooAssists: John Hayden, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 16:56BOSZdeno Chara: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:13CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:40BOSKevan Miller: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:17BOSColin Miller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Backes – Marchand14:55
xG 1.03–0.63 (62%)attempts 23–11goals 0–0
- Spooner – Kuraly – Pastrnak2:33
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Krejci – Beleskey – Pastrnak3:12
xG 0.07–0.08 (46%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Krejci – Kuraly – Pastrnak3:12
xG 0.12–0.36 (25%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Krug17:36
xG 1.08–0.89 (55%)attempts 19–17goals 0–0
- Miller – Miller10:09
xG 0.47–0.35 (57%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Chara – Miller4:39
xG 0.03–0.32 (9%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Panik – Schmaltz14:33
xG 0.69–0.25 (73%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Tootoo – Hayden – Rasmussen5:37
xG 0.40–0.10 (80%)attempts 10–1goals 1–1
- Hossa – Kruger – Hartman10:55
xG 0.55–0.47 (54%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Kane – Kero – Panarin13:13
xG 0.70–0.78 (47%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Seabrook6:43
xG 0.67–0.01 (98%)attempts 16–1goals 0–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson8:19
xG 0.67–0.19 (77%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Campbell – van Riemsdyk12:34
xG 0.58–0.49 (54%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).