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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 6, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 4, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 71% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Goal by Zucker (Coyle, Brodin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Grimaldi, Landeskog, Lindholm, Jost · MIN Hanzal, Zucker, Coyle, Brodin, Folin

  3. P1 0:53Shot by Dumba, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 1:38Shot by Scandella, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 4:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 5:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 5:26Shot by Bourque, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 8:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 8:42Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 8:52Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 9:25Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 9:36Shot by Coyle, saved by Pickard
  13. P1 10:31Shot by Zucker, saved by Pickard
  14. P1 11:23Shot by Staal, saved by Pickard
  15. P1 11:54Landeskog: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Barrie, Grimaldi, Landeskog, Jost · MIN Scandella, Schroeder, Haula, Prosser, Granlund

  16. P1 14:09Goal by Prosser (Coyle, Parise)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Barberio, Landeskog, Jost · MIN Staal, Parise, Prosser, Coyle, Dumba

  17. P1 16:26Suter: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Grimaldi, Landeskog, Lindholm, Jost · MIN Suter, Hanzal, Zucker, Coyle, Dumba

  18. P1 19:10Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 19:21Shot by Schroeder, saved by Pickard
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:44Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P2 1:09Shot by Parise, saved by Pickard
  24. P2 1:10Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Pickard
  25. P2 1:11Shot by Staal, saved by Pickard
  26. P2 2:17Shot by Pominville, saved by Pickard
  27. P2 3:45Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 4:21Shot by Staal, saved by Pickard
  29. P2 5:44Goal by Jost (Grimaldi, Landeskog)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Grimaldi, Landeskog, Lindholm, Jost · MIN Pominville, Suter, White, Schroeder, Dumba

  30. P2 6:14White: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, Barrie, Andrighetto, MacKinnon · MIN Pominville, White, Scandella, Prosser, Eriksson Ek

  31. P2 6:14Johnson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, Barrie, Andrighetto, MacKinnon · MIN Pominville, White, Scandella, Prosser, Eriksson Ek

  32. P2 6:14White: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, Barrie, Andrighetto, MacKinnon · MIN Pominville, White, Scandella, Prosser, Eriksson Ek

  33. P2 6:24Shot by Scandella, saved by Pickard5v4
  34. P2 7:26Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  35. P2 9:56Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 12:41Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  37. P2 12:43Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  38. P2 12:43Eriksson Ek: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Barberio, Grimaldi, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Jost · MIN Pominville, Parise, Scandella, Prosser, Eriksson Ek

  39. P2 13:23Shot by Staal, saved by Pickard5v4
  40. P2 14:51Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 14:55Goal by Beauchemin (Andrighetto)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Bourque, Johnson, Andrighetto, MacKinnon · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Niederreiter, Dumba

  42. P2 15:23Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 16:24Shot by Schroeder, saved by Pickard
  44. P2 17:17Siemens: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Duchene, Nieto, Siemens, Compher · MIN Suter, Schroeder, Zucker, Coyle, Dumba

  45. P2 19:37Shot by Zucker, saved by Pickard
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:48Shot by Bourque, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P3 1:03Shot by Haula, saved by Pickard
  50. P3 2:05Shot by Prosser, saved by Pickard
  51. P3 2:13Shot by Folin, saved by Pickard
  52. P3 2:21Shot by Brodin, saved by Pickard
  53. P3 2:56Shot by Pominville, saved by Pickard
  54. P3 3:10Shot by Coyle, saved by Pickard
  55. P3 4:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  56. P3 5:34Shot by White, saved by Pickard
  57. P3 5:46Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 6:43Goal by Niederreiter (Staal, Suter)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, Barberio, Andrighetto, MacKinnon · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Prosser, Niederreiter

  59. P3 7:11Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 7:28Shot by Jost, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 8:15Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 9:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 10:00Goal by Granlund (Niederreiter, Prosser)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Barrie, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Lindholm · MIN Haula, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Folin

  64. P3 10:59Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Pickard
  65. P3 11:04Shot by White, saved by Pickard
  66. P3 14:20Goal by Nieto (Duchene, Compher)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Barberio, Duchene, Nieto, Compher · MIN White, Scandella, Schroeder, Prosser, Eriksson Ek

  67. P3 14:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  68. P3 17:53Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  69. P3 18:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 18:21Folin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Barrie, Grimaldi, MacKinnon · MIN Staal, Parise, Prosser, Niederreiter, Folin

  71. P3 18:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk6v4
  72. P3 18:45Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk6v4
  73. P3 18:46Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Dubnyk6v4
  74. P3 19:38Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk6v4
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final