Sun, Apr 9, 2017·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 14 | 17 | 217 |
| EDM | 114 | 212 | 218 | 544 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:46EDMJordan EberlePPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Oscar Klefbom · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 2:00VANNikolay GoldobinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 4:10EDMJordan EberleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 14:46EDMDrake CaggiulaGWGAssists: Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–3
- P3 0:31EDMJordan EberleAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Milan Lucic · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–4
- P3 1:50EDMLeon DraisaitlAssists: Connor McDavid · Snap, 0.21 xG1–5
- P3 2:35VANNikita TryamkinAssists: Bo Horvat · Slap, 0.04 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:32EDMEric Gryba: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:32VANBen Hutton: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:09VANNikita Tryamkin: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:19VANAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:00EDMMatt Benning: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:34VANChris Tanev: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:25VANBen Hutton: Holding2 min
- P3 9:29VANBen Hutton: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Nugent-Hopkins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Sedin – Sedin – Goldobin10:47
xG 0.38–0.67 (36%)attempts 9–8goals 1–1
- Sutter – Chaput – Megna10:34
xG 0.05–0.49 (9%)attempts 5–16goals 0–0
- Boucher – Horvat – Boeser12:11
xG 0.38–1.00 (28%)attempts 10–14goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- Sbisa – Stecher2:04
xG 0.05–0.06 (43%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Hutton – Tryamkin9:39
xG 0.33–0.47 (41%)attempts 5–8goals 2–0
- Edler – Stecher8:03
xG 0.19–0.52 (27%)attempts 3–10goals 0–1
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestDraisaitl – McDavid – Caggiula8:53
xG 1.08–0.22 (83%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Lucic – Eberle – Nugent-Hopkins8:48
xG 0.66–0.32 (67%)attempts 11–6goals 2–1
- Hendricks – Kassian – Slepyshev11:26
xG 0.33–0.14 (70%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Pouliot – Desharnais – Pakarinen9:37
xG 0.11–0.19 (37%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSekera – Benning14:34
xG 0.85–0.32 (73%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Larsson – Klefbom15:53
xG 1.09–0.69 (61%)attempts 13–14goals 2–0
- Russell – Gryba12:13
xG 0.55–0.16 (77%)attempts 17–10goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).