Fri, Oct 20, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
San Jose Sharks 3, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 113 | 211 | 09 | 333 |
| NJD | 013 | 06 | 09 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:11SJSMelker KarlssonGWGAssists: Tomas Hertl, Tim Heed · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 5:49SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Justin Braun, Joe Thornton · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 18:50SJSJoonas DonskoiAssists: Justin Braun · Backhand, 0.19 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:09SJSKevin Labanc: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:48NJDJohn Moore: Holding2 min
- P1 14:32SJSJoe Pavelski: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:19NJDMiles Wood: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 19:21SJSJannik Hansen: Holding2 min
- P2 6:07NJDKyle Palmieri: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:59NJDMiles Wood: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 3:22SJSBrent Burns: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:43SJSJoonas Donskoi: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHansen – Donskoi – Carpenter3:46
xG 0.54–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Couture – Hertl – Karlsson6:34
xG 0.31–0.03 (91%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Donskoi2:51
xG 0.22–0.08 (72%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Boedker – Tierney – Meier8:31
xG 0.40–0.56 (41%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Heed8:44
xG 0.79–0.35 (70%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Braun12:40
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Burns – Dillon2:26
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Johansson – Palmieri – Zacha2:03
xG 0.22–0.19 (53%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Henrique – Johansson – Palmieri6:07
xG 0.15–0.20 (43%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Gibbons – Zacha – Bratt2:19
xG 0.02–0.20 (10%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Stafford – Hall – Hischier10:04
xG 0.26–0.75 (25%)attempts 5–18goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Mueller2:12
xG 0.32–0.09 (78%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Mueller4:48
xG 0.07–0.02 (77%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Moore – Butcher5:23
xG 0.26–0.33 (44%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).