Tue, Oct 24, 2017·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 110 | 08 | 113 | 231 |
| VGK | 214 | 18 | 111 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:33CHIJohn HaydenSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 3:59VGKWilliam KarlssonPPAssists: Colin Miller, Brad Hunt · Deflected, 0.15 xG1–1
- P1 5:46VGKTomas NosekAssists: Deryk Engelland, Brayden McNabb · Wrist, 0.36 xG1–2
- P2 18:14VGKPierre-Edouard BellemareGWGAssists: Tomas Nosek, William Carrier · Snap, 0.10 xG1–3
- P3 10:20VGKJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Nate Schmidt, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–4
- P3 18:55CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Brandon Saad, Jordan Oesterle · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:01CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 13:17VGKColin Miller: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:13VGKJames Neal: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:22CHIRichard Panik: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:16VGKLuca Sbisa: Elbowing2 min
- P2 14:07CHIRyan Hartman: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:07CHIRyan Hartman: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:20CHIBrent Seabrook: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eakin won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Panik – Saad9:18
xG 0.41–0.19 (68%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Bouma – Wingels – Hayden7:10
xG 0.29–0.55 (35%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Kane – Hartman – Schmaltz11:11
xG 0.34–0.88 (28%)attempts 8–17goals 0–1
- Sharp – Anisimov – DeBrincat8:18
xG 0.13–0.70 (16%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook13:57
xG 0.74–0.54 (58%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Murphy – Oesterle12:17
xG 0.47–0.80 (37%)attempts 11–12goals 1–1
- Forsling – Rutta12:37
xG 0.29–0.99 (23%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestLindberg – Leipsic – Tuch8:47
xG 1.06–0.19 (85%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Carrier – Bellemare – Nosek7:49
xG 0.53–0.32 (62%)attempts 6–9goals 2–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault8:10
xG 0.40–0.24 (62%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Neal – Perron – Eakin10:03
xG 0.26–0.68 (28%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEngelland – McNabb14:06
xG 1.10–0.55 (66%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Miller – Hunt11:43
xG 0.86–0.37 (70%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Sbisa – Schmidt12:29
xG 0.39–0.35 (53%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).