Wed, Nov 1, 2017·United Center, Chicago
Philadelphia Flyers 0, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 08 | 012 | 015 | 035 |
| CHI | 011 | 212 | 112 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:58CHIArtem AnisimovPPGWGAssists: Cody Franson, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.49 xG0–1
- P2 9:18CHIJonathan ToewsUnassisted · Backhand, 0.18 xG0–2
- P3 18:11CHIAlex DeBrincatENAssists: John Hayden, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.59 xG0–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:35PHIValtteri Filppula: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:18PHIScott Laughton: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:18CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:27PHIValtteri Filppula: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:46PHIMark Alt: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:52PHIBrandon Manning: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 10:50CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:03CHILance Bouma: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:25CHIJonathan Toews: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Filppula won the faceoff against Schmaltz
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Voracek – Couturier14:41
xG 1.24–0.90 (58%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
- Laughton – Leier – Raffl4:42
xG 0.17–0.06 (73%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Filppula – Simmonds – Konecny12:08
xG 0.32–0.36 (47%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Lehtera – Weise – Weal7:55
xG 0.07–0.27 (21%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Provorov2:01
xG 0.63–0.11 (85%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Manning – Hagg2:01
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Gudas – Sanheim4:29
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Saad – Schmaltz10:05
xG 0.54–0.32 (63%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Sharp – Anisimov – Hayden7:04
xG 0.19–0.08 (70%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Bouma – Wingels – Hartman7:33
xG 0.17–0.13 (57%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Toews – Panik – DeBrincat12:01
xG 0.64–1.11 (37%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Franson13:33
xG 0.74–0.22 (78%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook2:31
xG 0.21–0.05 (79%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Rutta13:48
xG 0.74–1.12 (40%)attempts 11–18goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).