Thu, Nov 2, 2017·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 7, Florida Panthers 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 212 | 317 | 211 | 740 |
| FLA | 18 | 212 | 014 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:57FLAMark PysykAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Jamie McGinn · Slap, 0.39 xG0–1
- P1 11:32CBJJosh AndersonAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Slap, 0.15 xG1–1
- P1 16:27CBJJosh AndersonAssists: Markus Nutivaara, Boone Jenner · Snap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 0:35FLAIan McCoshenAssists: Radim Vrbata, Vincent Trocheck · Slap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 5:21CBJMarkus HannikainenAssists: David Savard, Matt Calvert · Backhand, 0.07 xG3–2
- P2 8:43FLAVincent TrocheckSHAssists: Keith Yandle, Derek MacKenzie · Snap, 0.06 xG3–3
- P2 9:11CBJOliver BjorkstrandPPGWGAssists: Seth Jones, Sonny Milano · Snap, 0.07 xG4–3
- P2 11:27CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Zach Werenski, Matt Calvert · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–3
- P3 3:45CBJTyler MotteAssists: Boone Jenner, Markus Nutivaara · Snap, 0.10 xG6–3
- P3 6:12CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.21 xG7–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:24FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 7:35FLAIan McCoshen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:39CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:39CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:39FLAKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:14FLAKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 9:17CBJMarkus Hannikainen: Boarding2 min
- P3 9:17FLAMicheal Haley: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:15FLAAaron Ekblad: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMilano – Hannikainen – Dubois5:43
xG 1.11–0.04 (97%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Anderson – Panarin11:03
xG 1.08–0.27 (80%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Calvert – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg7:14
xG 0.82–0.58 (59%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Dubinsky – Jenner – Motte7:51
xG 0.39–0.63 (38%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Nutivaara13:17
xG 1.92–0.85 (69%)attempts 22–14goals 1–1
- Johnson – Savard15:29
xG 1.12–0.41 (73%)attempts 16–12goals 2–0
- Jones – Werenski13:35
xG 0.97–0.52 (65%)attempts 17–11goals 1–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- MacKenzie – Bjugstad – Malgin5:22
xG 0.27–0.25 (52%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Haley – Balisy – Malgin2:17
xG 0.04–0.03 (51%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov14:00
xG 0.52–0.62 (46%)attempts 15–13goals 0–2
- MacKenzie – Bjugstad – Tippett5:41
xG 0.51–0.71 (42%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Pysyk – McCoshen14:56
xG 1.40–1.51 (48%)attempts 21–21goals 2–3
- Yandle – Ekblad14:54
xG 0.50–0.84 (38%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Petrovic – Matheson18:59
xG 0.31–2.17 (12%)attempts 13–27goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).