Sat, Nov 4, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 1, San Jose Sharks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 17 | 014 | 05 | 00 | 1 | 126 |
| SJS | 012 | 017 | 112 | 04 | 2 | 245 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:23ANACorey PerryAssists: Derek Grant, Rickard Rakell · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P3 11:57SJSJoel WardAssists: Barclay Goodrow · Slap, 0.36 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 2. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 3. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 4. ANA Rickard Rakell scored
- 5. SJS Tim Heed stopped
- 6. ANA Ondrej Kase stopped
- 7. SJS Brent Burns stopped
- 8. ANA Jakob Silfverberg stopped
- 9. SJS Kevin Labanc stopped
- 10. ANA Nick Ritchie stopped
- 11. SJS Joonas Donskoi scored
- 12. ANA Brandon Montour stopped
Penalties (4)
- P1 8:29ANAAntoine Vermette: Holding2 min
- P1 18:57ANANick Ritchie: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:57ANAJaycob Megna: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:56SJSDylan DeMelo: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Tierney won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Silfverberg – Kossila11:16
xG 0.57–0.29 (67%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Vermette – Ritchie – Kase11:11
xG 0.15–0.14 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Perry – Grant – Rakell14:02
xG 0.48–0.93 (34%)attempts 13–23goals 1–0
- Wagner – Shaw – Rasmussen6:48
xG 0.21–0.67 (23%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Manson – Lindholm16:50
xG 0.61–0.58 (51%)attempts 21–14goals 1–0
- Megna – Montour13:59
xG 0.18–0.50 (27%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Vatanen16:24
xG 0.26–0.96 (21%)attempts 8–22goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Hertl – Karlsson13:46
xG 0.88–0.46 (66%)attempts 20–16goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Labanc7:22
xG 0.33–0.12 (74%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Ward – Goodrow – Meier6:05
xG 0.23–0.04 (86%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Donskoi6:49
xG 0.19–0.02 (90%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ryan16:11
xG 0.73–0.35 (68%)attempts 21–15goals 0–0
- Braun – Dillon14:46
xG 0.97–0.65 (60%)attempts 18–18goals 0–1
- Dillon – Heed2:00
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).