Mon, Nov 6, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Winnipeg Jets 4, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 313 | 07 | 16 | 426 |
| DAL | 011 | 114 | 09 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:26WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 5:12WPGPatrik LainePPGWGAssists: Blake Wheeler, Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P1 19:03WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 4:13DALJamie BennPPAssists: John Klingberg, Alexander Radulov · Backhand, 0.34 xG3–1
- P3 19:47WPGMark ScheifeleENAssists: Blake Wheeler, Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.64 xG4–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:59DALJohn Klingberg: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:27DALRemi Elie: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 3:44WPGBryan Little: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:05WPGShawn Matthias: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:55DALGreg Pateryn: Delaying game2 min
- P2 18:30WPGJosh Morrissey: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 19:07WPGTyler Myers: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Seguin won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestHendricks – Matthias – Armia6:12
xG 0.30–0.03 (90%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Little – Ehlers – Laine12:00
xG 0.43–0.25 (63%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Lowry – Copp – Tanev9:55
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor13:42
xG 0.62–0.68 (48%)attempts 14–22goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien16:44
xG 0.68–0.38 (64%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
- Trouba – Morrissey14:46
xG 0.53–0.39 (58%)attempts 15–18goals 1–0
- Myers – Kulikov11:25
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestShore – Janmark – Elie2:23
xG 0.14–0.08 (63%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Spezza – Roussel – Elie4:38
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Shore – Smith – Janmark2:47
xG 0.02–0.08 (19%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Shore – Janmark – Dickinson5:05
xG 0.04–0.31 (11%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Pateryn9:24
xG 0.24–0.04 (87%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Johns – Lindell4:50
xG 0.17–0.09 (66%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Lindell9:08
xG 0.16–0.15 (52%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).