Tue, Nov 7, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
St. Louis Blues 3, New Jersey Devils 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 010 | 111 | 219 | 340 |
| NJD | 19 | 09 | 04 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:35NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Brian Boyle, John Moore · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 18:57STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Brayden Schenn · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P3 0:32STLJaden SchwartzPPGWGAssists: Brayden Schenn, Vladimir Tarasenko · Slap, 0.20 xG2–1
- P3 19:03STLBrayden SchennENAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.68 xG3–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:36NJDNico Hischier: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:03NJDTaylor Hall: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 11:44STLRobert Bortuzzo: Cross checking2 min
- P1 14:49NJDBrian Gibbons: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:04STLOskar Sundqvist: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:50NJDBlake Coleman: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:02NJDSteven Santini: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:10STLDmitrij Jaskin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 12:15STLVladimir Sobotka: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz11:09
xG 1.00–0.39 (72%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Paajarvi – Jaskin – Sundqvist8:59
xG 0.34–0.15 (70%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Steen – Stastny – Sobotka10:47
xG 0.54–0.38 (58%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Upshall – Brodziak6:13
xG 0.17–0.68 (20%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Parayko12:43
xG 1.28–0.32 (80%)attempts 19–9goals 0–0
- Gunnarsson – Bortuzzo8:12
xG 0.34–0.04 (90%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Edmundson2:03
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Hayes – Wood – Zacha7:18
xG 0.21–0.23 (48%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Boyle – Coleman – Noesen5:50
xG 0.51–0.56 (48%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Stafford – Henrique – Gibbons7:03
xG 0.28–0.34 (45%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Hall – Bratt – Hischier8:41
xG 0.40–0.76 (35%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Butcher5:41
xG 0.81–0.42 (66%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher2:35
xG 0.15–0.04 (81%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Mueller3:53
xG 0.13–0.07 (64%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).