Thu, Nov 9, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Edmonton Oilers 3, New Jersey Devils 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 07 | 112 | 17 | 16 | 332 |
| NJD | 112 | 112 | 07 | 03 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:33NJDBrian BoyleAssists: Brian Gibbons, John Moore · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–1
- P2 6:50EDMAnton SlepyshevAssists: Milan Lucic, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 18:25NJDDrew StaffordAssists: Adam Henrique, Mirco Mueller · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P3 3:21EDMMilan LucicAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Zack Kassian · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- OT 4:43EDMLeon DraisaitlGWGAssists: Connor McDavid, Kris Russell · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:45NJDNico Hischier: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:36NJDJimmy Hayes: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 17:46EDMOscar Klefbom: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:46EDMAdam Larsson: Holding2 min
- P2 10:05EDMAdam Larsson: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:40EDMMatt Benning: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McDavid won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestMaroon – Draisaitl – McDavid14:15
xG 0.66–0.39 (63%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Letestu – Malone – Kassian2:33
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Lucic – Nugent-Hopkins – Slepyshev7:44
xG 0.38–0.24 (61%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Jokinen – Pakarinen – Strome8:26
xG 0.07–0.11 (39%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlefbom – Benning15:13
xG 0.58–0.38 (60%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Russell – Gryba11:10
xG 0.25–0.24 (51%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Larsson – Nurse15:28
xG 0.49–0.53 (48%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBoyle – Stafford – Bratt2:38
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Boyle – Hayes – Wood4:47
xG 0.04–0.10 (26%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
- Gibbons – Coleman – Noesen7:18
xG 0.11–0.22 (33%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier11:25
xG 0.34–0.47 (42%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestButcher – Mueller6:51
xG 1.12–0.07 (94%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Moore – Mueller8:01
xG 0.42–0.04 (92%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Severson – Butcher4:20
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).