Thu, Nov 9, 2017·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 1, Anaheim Ducks 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 16 | 05 | 09 | 120 |
| ANA | 116 | 18 | 211 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:12VANSven BaertschiUnassisted · Slap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 17:11ANAHampus LindholmPPAssists: Rickard Rakell, Sami Vatanen · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 16:58ANABrandon MontourPPGWGAssists: Corey Perry, Rickard Rakell · Snap, 0.10 xG1–2
- P3 0:30ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: Rickard Rakell, Corey Perry · Snap, 0.23 xG1–3
- P3 1:05ANAJakob SilfverbergAssists: Andrew Cogliano, Josh Manson · Wrist, 0.34 xG1–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 4:54VANDerrick Pouliot: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:07VANMichael Del Zotto: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:41VANDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 6:38ANABrandon Montour: Interference2 min
- P2 16:17VANSam Gagner: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:00VANBen Hutton: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 4:14ANASami Vatanen: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:58ANAHampus Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:34ANAJosh Manson: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:34VANDerek Dorsett: Instigator2 min
- P3 8:34VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:34VANDerek Dorsett: Misconduct10 min
- P3 11:51ANASami Vatanen: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:37ANAKevin Bieksa: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Sutter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Vanek – Gagner – Granlund8:21
xG 0.08–0.33 (20%)attempts 6–15goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Virtanen8:53
xG 0.06–0.32 (16%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Dorsett – Sutter – Gaunce7:19
xG 0.05–0.56 (8%)attempts 1–10goals 0–0
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser10:45
xG 0.28–1.01 (22%)attempts 10–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Gudbranson – Hutton12:52
xG 0.12–0.34 (26%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Edler – Biega12:43
xG 0.29–0.56 (34%)attempts 7–22goals 1–0
- Del Zotto – Pouliot14:51
xG 0.19–1.45 (11%)attempts 10–17goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Silfverberg – Wagner11:26
xG 0.84–0.19 (81%)attempts 16–6goals 1–1
- Vermette – Shaw – Rasmussen9:15
xG 0.63–0.17 (78%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Roy – Ritchie – Kossila6:40
xG 0.34–0.06 (84%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Perry – Grant – Rakell10:32
xG 0.38–0.15 (72%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm17:19
xG 1.19–0.06 (96%)attempts 22–8goals 1–0
- Beauchemin – Montour10:44
xG 0.37–0.13 (74%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Vatanen10:58
xG 0.22–0.32 (41%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).