Fri, Nov 10, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Boston Bruins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 115 | 111 | 01 | 235 |
| TOR | 010 | 114 | 18 | 11 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:38BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Brad Marchand, Torey Krug · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 19:44TORJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Nazem Kadri, Morgan Rielly · Snap, 0.50 xG1–1
- P3 14:30BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Jordan Szwarz, Anders Bjork · Wrist, 0.38 xG2–1
- P3 19:00TORJames van RiemsdykAssists: Mitch Marner, Nikita Zaitsev · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–2
- OT 1:07TORPatrick MarleauGWGAssists: Jake Gardiner, Mitch Marner · Tip-in, 0.02 xG2–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 10:29BOSZdeno Chara: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 4:01BOSBrandon Carlo: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:59BOSBrandon Carlo: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:18TORJake Gardiner: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:06BOSRiley Nash: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 7:52TORJames van Riemsdyk: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:16BOSZdeno Chara: Interference2 min
- P3 12:31TORJosh Leivo: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:32TORJake Gardiner: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Nylander
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:34
xG 0.93–0.43 (68%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Beleskey – Kuraly – DeBrusk7:06
xG 0.53–0.34 (61%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Szwarz – Heinen – Bjork5:04
xG 0.32–0.21 (61%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Nash – Schaller – Acciari9:14
xG 0.14–0.25 (37%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy15:40
xG 1.06–0.87 (55%)attempts 16–18goals 0–0
- Miller – Carlo2:09
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Krug – Carlo12:34
xG 0.43–0.36 (54%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
Toronto Maple Leafs
Forward lines
- van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner9:13
xG 0.21–0.20 (51%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Marleau – Hyman – Nylander2:33
xG 0.07–0.07 (48%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Komarov – Kadri – Nylander6:51
xG 0.36–0.42 (46%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Marleau – Hyman – Brown6:27
xG 0.17–0.28 (37%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHainsey – Rielly14:09
xG 1.44–1.10 (57%)attempts 16–14goals 0–1
- Gardiner – Zaitsev11:50
xG 0.32–0.36 (47%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Carrick – Borgman9:30
xG 0.18–0.74 (19%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
TOR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line TOR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (TOR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).