Sat, Nov 11, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 0, San Jose Sharks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 014 | 017 | 041 |
| SJS | 114 | 16 | 311 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:48SJSTomas HertlGWGAssists: Justin Braun, Melker Karlsson · Tip-in, 0.39 xG0–1
- P2 15:59SJSLogan CoutureSHAssists: Tomas Hertl · Backhand, 0.21 xG0–2
- P3 18:19SJSLogan CoutureENAssists: Joel Ward, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.60 xG0–3
- P3 19:21SJSChris TierneyENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.64 xG0–4
- P3 19:47SJSChris TierneyUnassisted · Wrist, 0.35 xG0–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:53VANBo Horvat: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 14:54VANDerek Dorsett: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:02SJSTimo Meier: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:10VANAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:48SJSJoe Pavelski: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:30VANAlex Biega: Interference2 min
- P2 15:30SJSJoel Ward: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:26SJSBarclay Goodrow: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:37SJSTimo Meier: Elbowing5 min
- P3 18:37SJSTimo Meier: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:47VANAlexander Edler: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Eriksson13:01
xG 0.93–0.64 (59%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Vanek – Gagner – Burmistrov5:49
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Dorsett – Sutter – Granlund7:37
xG 0.30–0.23 (57%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Vanek – Gagner – Horvat2:18
xG 0.03–0.01 (79%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Pouliot14:35
xG 1.44–0.39 (79%)attempts 25–12goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Hutton2:47
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton10:35
xG 0.29–0.54 (35%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestWard – Goodrow – Meier7:19
xG 0.32–0.03 (93%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Hansen – Boedker – Tierney9:01
xG 0.73–0.50 (59%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Couture – Hertl – Karlsson10:33
xG 0.43–0.84 (34%)attempts 6–20goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Donskoi8:13
xG 0.22–0.74 (23%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ryan12:52
xG 0.85–0.63 (57%)attempts 16–18goals 0–0
- Dillon – Heed12:17
xG 0.43–0.73 (37%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun13:59
xG 0.41–0.86 (32%)attempts 7–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).