Thu, Nov 16, 2017·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Winnipeg Jets 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 210 | 011 | 09 | 02 | 2 | 232 |
| WPG | 010 | 112 | 18 | 03 | 3 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:27PHIJakub VoracekAssists: Sean Couturier, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 5:15PHISean CouturierPPAssists: Wayne Simmonds, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 13:05WPGMathieu PerreaultPPAssists: Joel Armia, Tyler Myers · Backhand, 0.22 xG2–1
- P3 19:11WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Blake Wheeler, Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. WPG Mark Scheifele scored
- 2. PHI Jakub Voracek scored
- 3. WPG Patrik Laine scored
- 4. PHI Jordan Weal scored
- 5. WPG Blake Wheeler stopped
- 6. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 7. WPG Bryan Little scored
- 8. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
Penalties (13)
- P1 4:33WPGDustin Byfuglien: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 8:30PHIScott Laughton: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:50WPGMathieu Perreault: High sticking2 min
- P1 9:50PHIRadko Gudas: Slashing5 min
- P1 9:50PHIRadko Gudas: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 1:51WPGMark Scheifele: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:12PHITravis Konecny: Interference2 min
- P2 9:44WPGDmitry Kulikov: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:14PHIScott Laughton: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 5:41PHIWayne Simmonds: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:40WPGDustin Byfuglien: Tripping2 min
- OT 3:55PHITravis Konecny: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 4:41WPGPatrik Laine: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestSimmonds – Weise – Patrick5:41
xG 0.11–0.02 (86%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Laughton – Leier – Raffl5:28
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Couturier10:53
xG 0.38–0.34 (53%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Filppula – Giroux – Voracek2:36
xG 0.00–0.01 (15%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Sanheim3:19
xG 0.21–0.01 (96%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Sanheim – Provorov4:23
xG 0.18–0.01 (95%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Hagg – Provorov10:53
xG 0.25–0.20 (55%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Hendricks – Perreault – Armia3:45
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor9:40
xG 0.28–0.30 (48%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Lowry – Copp – Tanev11:27
xG 0.18–0.26 (41%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Little – Ehlers – Laine8:06
xG 0.07–0.17 (28%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien13:53
xG 0.32–0.18 (64%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Myers – Kulikov9:33
xG 0.13–0.13 (50%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Trouba – Morrissey12:26
xG 0.23–0.38 (38%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).