Sun, Nov 19, 2017·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Los Angeles Kings 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 110 | 16 | 229 |
| VGK | 312 | 020 | 18 | 440 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:55VGKWilliam KarlssonAssists: Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 9:21VGKCody EakinAssists: Brendan Leipsic · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 11:22VGKWilliam KarlssonGWGAssists: Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–3
- P2 8:35LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Alex Iafallo · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–3
- P3 11:45LAKTanner PearsonAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 18:58VGKAlex TuchENAssists: Cody Eakin · Wrist, 0.69 xG2–4
Penalties (2)
- P2 3:11VGKWilliam Carrier: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:06LAKKurtis MacDermid: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Andreoff – Shore2:19
xG 0.68–0.01 (99%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Lewis – Shore – Pearson2:41
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Lewis – Pearson3:27
xG 0.03–0.07 (30%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Pearson2:04
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort13:13
xG 0.69–0.37 (65%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
- Forbort – Folin5:40
xG 0.13–0.19 (41%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Martinez – Doughty2:56
xG 0.10–0.17 (36%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestEakin – Leipsic – Tuch11:41
xG 1.22–0.24 (84%)attempts 17–5goals 1–0
- Carrier – Bellemare – Nosek6:02
xG 0.67–0.18 (79%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault12:16
xG 0.58–0.33 (64%)attempts 12–17goals 2–1
- Neal – Perron – Haula15:33
xG 0.14–0.24 (37%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Schmidt16:41
xG 1.08–0.67 (62%)attempts 26–10goals 2–0
- Engelland – Theodore17:27
xG 0.77–0.51 (60%)attempts 15–19goals 0–1
- Miller – Hunt14:24
xG 0.59–0.53 (53%)attempts 10–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).