Wed, Nov 22, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 3, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 210 | 012 | 05 | 02 | 2 | 329 |
| NJD | 115 | 09 | 115 | 03 | 1 | 242 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:25BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Matt Grzelcyk · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 11:02BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Pastrnak, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–0
- P1 17:10NJDJesper BrattPPAssists: Brian Boyle, Adam Henrique · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 15:16NJDBrian GibbonsAssists: Damon Severson · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NJD Taylor Hall scored
- 2. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt stopped
- 4. BOS David Pastrnak scored
- 5. NJD Drew Stafford stopped
- 6. BOS David Krejci stopped
- 7. NJD Brian Boyle stopped
- 8. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 9. NJD Pavel Zacha stopped
- 10. BOS Ryan Spooner stopped
- 11. NJD Nico Hischier stopped
- 12. BOS Peter Cehlarik stopped
- 13. NJD Adam Henrique stopped
- 14. BOS Riley Nash stopped
- 15. NJD Will Butcher stopped
- 16. BOS Danton Heinen stopped
- 17. NJD Brian Gibbons stopped
- 18. BOS Tim Schaller stopped
- 19. NJD Damon Severson stopped
- 20. BOS Frank Vatrano stopped
- 21. NJD Travis Zajac stopped
- 22. BOS Charlie McAvoy scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:52NJDJohn Moore: Interference2 min
- P1 13:40NJDJimmy Hayes: Elbowing2 min
- P1 13:40BOSFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:47BOSTim Schaller: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:35NJDTravis Zajac: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:27NJDTaylor Hall: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:21NJDBrian Boyle: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:13BOSPeter Cehlarik: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:14BOSKevan Miller: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestNash – Spooner – Acciari3:25
xG 0.19–0.01 (96%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Nash – Schaller – Acciari2:13
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Krejci – Cehlarik – DeBrusk6:49
xG 0.38–0.30 (56%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Pastrnak – Heinen10:32
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Grzelcyk10:09
xG 0.54–0.16 (77%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Miller – Carlo5:19
xG 0.08–0.20 (30%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- O'Gara – Carlo7:13
xG 0.26–0.41 (39%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Hall – Bratt6:42
xG 0.42–0.04 (92%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Hall – Bratt – Hischier5:00
xG 0.39–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Boyle – Stafford – Wood5:19
xG 0.55–0.19 (74%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Boyle – Hayes – Zacha2:01
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Severson14:31
xG 0.95–0.12 (89%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Severson – Butcher5:15
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Greene – Santini11:44
xG 0.42–0.40 (51%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).