Wed, Nov 22, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Winnipeg Jets 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 19 | 110 | 08 | 227 |
| LAK | 011 | 016 | 112 | 139 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:52WPGAdam LowryAssists: Andrew Copp, Steve Mason · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 19:01WPGPatrik LainePPGWGAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers, Mathieu Perreault · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P3 5:26LAKTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Oscar Fantenberg, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:06WPGJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P1 12:24LAKTanner Pearson: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:01WPGBen Chiarot: Interference2 min
- P2 12:57LAKAdrian Kempe: Holding2 min
- P2 17:54LAKDustin Brown: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 4:09WPGBrandon Tanev: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:31WPGBryan Little: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:20WPGBlake Wheeler: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:30LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Copp – Tanev7:33
xG 0.40–0.03 (94%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor14:36
xG 1.10–0.91 (55%)attempts 16–20goals 0–0
- Hendricks – Perreault – Armia3:26
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Little – Ehlers – Laine9:27
xG 0.35–0.28 (56%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Morrissey11:19
xG 0.78–0.42 (65%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- Chiarot – Trouba7:51
xG 0.47–0.20 (70%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Myers – Kulikov12:08
xG 0.58–0.35 (63%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo3:09
xG 0.19–0.05 (80%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Pearson – Kempe4:32
xG 0.23–0.11 (68%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
- Lewis – Andreoff – Shore3:19
xG 0.06–0.01 (80%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Lewis – Shore – Brodzinski3:04
xG 0.04–0.01 (72%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty4:15
xG 0.48–0.32 (60%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Forbort – Fantenberg3:21
xG 0.06–0.04 (61%)attempts 5–1goals 0–1
- Martinez – Forbort2:51
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).