Fri, Nov 24, 2017·Honda Center, Anaheim
Winnipeg Jets 4, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 212 | 113 | 111 | 436 |
| ANA | 08 | 112 | 011 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:40WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Patrik Laine, Bryan Little · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–0
- P1 4:59WPGNikolaj EhlersPPGWGAssists: Tyler Myers, Bryan Little · Snap, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 5:46ANAFrancois BeaucheminAssists: Mike Liambas, Dennis Rasmussen · Slap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 12:06WPGBryan LittlePPAssists: Tyler Myers, Nikolaj Ehlers · Snap, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 18:20WPGKyle ConnorENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.54 xG4–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:17ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Interference2 min
- P1 3:47ANADennis Rasmussen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:51WPGJosh Morrissey: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:51ANAChris Wagner: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 10:40ANAAndrew Cogliano: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:22WPGMark Scheifele: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:25WPGJosh Morrissey: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Wagner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLittle – Ehlers – Laine9:58
xG 0.75–0.44 (63%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor14:54
xG 0.64–0.50 (56%)attempts 16–18goals 0–0
- Lowry – Copp – Tanev10:48
xG 0.28–0.28 (49%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- Hendricks – Perreault – Armia7:59
xG 0.17–0.34 (33%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Chiarot16:12
xG 1.47–0.44 (77%)attempts 27–17goals 1–0
- Byfuglien – Kulikov2:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Byfuglien – Morrissey2:01
xG 0.03–0.09 (25%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Roy – Ritchie6:56
xG 0.26–0.10 (72%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Vermette – Perry – Cogliano3:17
xG 0.04–0.06 (37%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Silfverberg – Wagner9:42
xG 0.47–0.52 (48%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Perry – Grant – Rakell10:56
xG 0.36–0.71 (34%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm14:59
xG 0.66–0.50 (57%)attempts 23–12goals 0–0
- Beauchemin – Montour13:10
xG 0.44–0.44 (50%)attempts 14–18goals 1–0
- Fowler – Montour2:20
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).