Sat, Nov 25, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Winnipeg Jets 0, San Jose Sharks 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 09 | 016 | 013 | 038 |
| SJS | 213 | 15 | 116 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:30SJSTim HeedPPGWGAssists: Kevin Labanc, Joe Thornton · Slap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 19:44SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Justin Braun, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–2
- P2 13:13SJSLogan CoutureSHAssists: Tomas Hertl, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–3
- P3 16:50SJSTomas HertlENAssists: Joe Pavelski, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.66 xG0–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:11WPGDustin Byfuglien: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 6:05SJSDylan DeMelo: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:56SJSBrenden Dillon: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:02SJSDylan DeMelo: Interference2 min
- P3 5:08WPGJoel Armia: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Copp – Tanev8:20
xG 0.91–0.17 (85%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Hendricks – Perreault – Armia4:14
xG 0.46–0.01 (98%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Little – Perreault – Laine3:45
xG 0.32–0.11 (74%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor8:41
xG 0.52–0.48 (52%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Morrissey16:12
xG 0.95–0.72 (57%)attempts 24–16goals 0–0
- Myers – Kulikov10:36
xG 0.49–0.29 (63%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Byfuglien – Chiarot12:51
xG 0.98–0.79 (56%)attempts 19–15goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Thornton – Pavelski – Meier12:42
xG 0.69–0.71 (49%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
- Ward – O'Regan – Labanc8:46
xG 0.28–0.53 (35%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Couture – Donskoi – Hertl10:44
xG 0.20–0.60 (25%)attempts 6–16goals 0–0
- Hansen – Boedker – Tierney10:53
xG 0.20–1.08 (15%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun15:10
xG 0.87–0.60 (59%)attempts 14–18goals 1–0
- Braun – Dillon2:01
xG 0.03–0.11 (19%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon12:19
xG 0.65–0.89 (42%)attempts 18–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).