Sat, Nov 25, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 17 | 08 | 010 | 01 | 1 | 126 |
| LAK | 011 | 09 | 112 | 02 | 2 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:08ANANick RitchieAssists: Corey Perry, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P3 18:28LAKDustin BrownAssists: Trevor Lewis, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jussi Jokinen stopped
- 2. ANA Corey Perry scored
- 3. LAK Jonny Brodzinski stopped
- 4. ANA Jakob Silfverberg stopped
- 5. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 6. ANA Cam Fowler stopped
- 7. LAK Trevor Lewis scored
- 8. ANA Kevin Roy stopped
Penalties (12)
- P1 1:53LAKKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:53ANAMike Liambas: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:40ANAAndrew Cogliano: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:40LAKOscar Fantenberg: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:41ANAChris Wagner: Interference2 min
- P1 9:25LAKAndy Andreoff: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:25ANAKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:18ANAJosh Manson: Holding2 min
- P2 17:20LAKKurtis MacDermid: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:38ANACam Fowler: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:57LAKJonny Brodzinski: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 2:52ANABrandon Montour: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Grant
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Silfverberg – Wagner12:02
xG 0.97–0.06 (94%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Vermette – Shaw – Roy9:24
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Perry – Grant – Ritchie14:44
xG 0.31–0.51 (38%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm13:06
xG 0.76–0.21 (78%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Fowler12:30
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Montour2:42
xG 0.12–0.03 (81%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Pearson – Kempe6:02
xG 0.33–0.15 (69%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Jokinen – Brodzinski6:04
xG 0.17–0.21 (44%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo9:55
xG 0.33–0.44 (42%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Lewis – Shore – Pearson2:22
xG 0.04–0.24 (14%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty15:46
xG 0.50–0.15 (77%)attempts 22–7goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Martinez2:01
xG 0.01–0.02 (35%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – Fantenberg9:05
xG 0.34–0.46 (42%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).