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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 1, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 1, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 0:56Goal by Williams, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Smith, Holden, Zuccarello, Miller · CAR Williams, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, van Riemsdyk

  4. P1 1:38Shot by Ryan, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 1:42Lindholm: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Desharnais, Smith, Kreider, Buchnevich · CAR Skinner, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin, Ryan

  6. P1 4:57Shot by Nash, saved by Darling
  7. P1 5:19Shot by Aho, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 5:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Darling
  9. P1 6:00Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Darling
  10. P1 6:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 7:50Shot by Skjei, saved by Darling
  12. P1 7:53Teravainen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Shattenkirk, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho

  13. P1 8:46Shot by Hayes, saved by Darling5v4
  14. P1 10:18Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 12:24Shot by Staal, saved by Darling
  16. P1 12:27Shot by Desharnais, saved by Darling
  17. P1 13:32Shot by Fleury, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 15:30Shot by McGinn, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 16:20Shot by Nieves, saved by Darling
  20. P1 17:55Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 17:59Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 18:44Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 18:48Shot by McGinn, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:21Fleury: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Holden, Hayes, Vesey · CAR Staal, Faulk, Lindholm, Fleury, Aho

  27. P2 0:37Goal by Desharnais, unassisted5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Desharnais, Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Buchnevich · CAR Staal, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce

  28. P2 1:06Di Giuseppe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Carey, Smith, Fast, Nieves · CAR Williams, Faulk, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Hanifin

  29. P2 1:18Desharnais: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Desharnais, Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Buchnevich · CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm

  30. P2 1:40Shot by Aho, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  31. P2 1:52Goal by Grabner (Shattenkirk, Miller)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Shattenkirk, Miller, Skjei · CAR Faulk, Teravainen, Hanifin, Aho

  32. P2 4:44Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 7:40Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 7:55Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Shattenkirk, Zuccarello, Miller, Skjei · CAR Staal, Slavin, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  35. P2 8:02Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Darling5v4
  36. P2 9:31Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling5v4
  37. P2 11:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 11:54Miller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Grabner, McDonagh, Holden, Zuccarello, Miller · CAR Staal, Faulk, Lindholm, Fleury, Aho

  39. P2 12:05Shot by Hanifin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  40. P2 14:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 15:01Shot by Hanifin, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 16:15Shot by Grabner, saved by Darling
  43. P2 18:20Shot by Williams, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 18:47Shot by Nash, saved by Darling
  45. P2 18:58Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 19:38Shot by Pesce, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 0:00Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:33Shot by Fleury, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P3 1:15Shot by Skjei, saved by Darling
  52. P3 3:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 3:20Shattenkirk: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Shattenkirk, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · CAR Skinner, Teravainen, Slavin, van Riemsdyk, Ryan

  54. P3 3:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvistother
  55. P3 4:20Lindholm: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Desharnais, McDonagh, Holden, Kreider, Buchnevich · CAR Staal, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin, Aho

  56. P3 4:27Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Darling5v4
  57. P3 4:37Shot by Kruger, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  58. P3 6:14Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Darling5v4
  59. P3 9:07Shot by Skjei, saved by Darling
  60. P3 9:42Shot by Aho, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 10:25Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling
  62. P3 10:32Shot by Nash, saved by Darling
  63. P3 11:29Shot by Carey, saved by Darling
  64. P3 13:33Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 14:00Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 15:04Shot by Rask, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 16:02Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 16:32Shot by Staal, saved by Darling
  69. P3 17:32Shot by Slavin, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 17:47Goal by Grabner (McDonagh)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Grabner, McDonagh, Holden, Zuccarello, Miller · CAR Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho

  71. P3 18:48Goal by Grabner (Nieves, Staal)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Grabner, Smith, Fast, Nieves · CAR Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Lindholm, Hanifin, Aho

  72. P3 18:48Aho: Delaying game (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Staal, Grabner, Smith, Fast, Nieves · CAR Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Lindholm, Hanifin, Aho

  73. P3 19:00Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling5v4
  74. P3 19:20Goal by Carey (Vesey, Smith)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Carey, Smith, Vesey, Nieves · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final