Fri, Dec 1, 2017·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Anaheim Ducks 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 15 | 15 | 017 | 227 |
| CBJ | 110 | 111 | 210 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:02CBJBrandon DubinskyAssists: Artemi Panarin, Josh Anderson · Snap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 9:04ANACam FowlerAssists: Derek Grant, Dennis Rasmussen · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 2:32ANAKevin RoyAssists: Adam Henrique · Backhand, 0.20 xG2–1
- P2 10:54CBJArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Josh Anderson · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 15:06CBJJosh AndersonGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 19:31CBJNick FolignoENAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.60 xG2–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 1:59CBJScott Harrington: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:40ANACorey Perry: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:13ANAChris Wagner: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:26CBJAlexander Wennberg: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 0:35ANAChris Wagner: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:45ANAHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P2 9:49ANAKevin Bieksa: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:52ANAJohn Gibson: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:52CBJNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:52ANAJosh Manson: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:36ANAKevin Bieksa: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:06ANALogan Shaw: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:29CBJCam Atkinson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Henrique – Ritchie10:06
xG 0.57–0.15 (79%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Vermette – Roy – Kase10:39
xG 0.34–0.25 (58%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Grant – Blandisi – Rasmussen4:27
xG 0.08–0.28 (22%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Cogliano – Wagner – Shaw8:30
xG 0.03–0.42 (8%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm11:45
xG 0.33–0.27 (55%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Fowler9:00
xG 0.49–0.44 (53%)attempts 5–9goals 1–1
- Fowler – Montour3:01
xG 0.01–0.00 (79%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Panarin – Dubois8:53
xG 0.49–0.19 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Foligno – Jenner5:06
xG 0.21–0.08 (73%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Jenner – Motte2:41
xG 0.13–0.01 (92%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Sedlak – Motte2:01
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarrington – Nutivaara11:13
xG 0.43–0.05 (89%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski12:49
xG 0.47–0.14 (77%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Johnson – Savard13:32
xG 0.61–0.85 (42%)attempts 17–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).