Sat, Dec 2, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 111 | 112 | 09 | 02 | 0 | 234 |
| DAL | 111 | 115 | 05 | 04 | 2 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:57DALAlexander RadulovPPAssists: Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 8:31CHICody FransonAssists: Ryan Hartman, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 12:15DALRadek FaksaAssists: Remi Elie, Tyler Pitlick · Snap, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 19:19CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Connor Murphy, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. DAL Alexander Radulov scored
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. DAL Tyler Seguin scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:49DALCurtis McKenzie: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:09CHIJohn Hayden: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:02CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:05CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:30DALBrett Ritchie: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 15:52CHIPatrick Sharp: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:55DALGreg Pateryn: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:36CHIConnor Murphy: Elbowing2 min
- P3 9:36DALBrett Ritchie: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 4:51CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Faksa
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Hartman – DeBrincat9:24
xG 0.63–0.05 (92%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Bouma – Wingels – Hayden6:43
xG 0.34–0.20 (63%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Schmaltz11:55
xG 0.08–0.35 (18%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
- Toews – Panik – Saad10:20
xG 0.40–1.02 (28%)attempts 13–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Franson9:15
xG 0.35–0.00 (99%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Murphy9:47
xG 0.48–0.34 (58%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Keith – Seabrook3:05
xG 0.04–0.03 (55%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRadulov – Benn – Seguin13:20
xG 0.98–0.56 (64%)attempts 16–16goals 0–1
- Pitlick – Faksa – Elie8:01
xG 0.38–0.20 (66%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Spezza – Shore – Janmark7:07
xG 0.08–0.27 (23%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
- McKenzie – Ritchie – Smith4:47
xG 0.03–0.24 (12%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Lindell14:39
xG 0.74–0.57 (57%)attempts 23–15goals 1–2
- Johns – Oleksiak9:58
xG 0.70–0.66 (52%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Pateryn15:44
xG 0.14–0.24 (36%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).