Fri, Dec 8, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 09 | 39 | 210 | 528 |
| NJD | 29 | 110 | 05 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:29NJDBrian BoyleAssists: Jimmy Hayes, Miles Wood · Snap, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 14:10NJDMarcus JohanssonAssists: Stefan Noesen · Wrap-around, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 2:29CBJPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 5:44CBJLukas SedlakAssists: Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 14:13CBJScott HarringtonAssists: Artemi Panarin, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P2 19:40NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Brian Gibbons, Steven Santini · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–3
- P3 1:32CBJAlexander WennbergPPGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 15:02CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Artemi Panarin, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.01 xG5–3
Penalties (5)
- P2 6:02CBJJack Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:32CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:20NJDAndy Greene: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 11:05CBJMarkus Hannikainen: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 14:55NJDStefan Noesen: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg8:07
xG 0.33–0.14 (71%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Anderson – Panarin – Dubois13:27
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 10–10goals 2–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Wennberg4:06
xG 0.13–0.06 (67%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Calvert – Sedlak – Hannikainen2:23
xG 0.11–0.06 (64%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarrington – Nutivaara9:18
xG 0.30–0.09 (77%)attempts 7–7goals 2–1
- Jones – Werenski17:44
xG 0.61–0.77 (44%)attempts 18–12goals 1–0
- Johnson – Savard14:39
xG 0.26–0.59 (31%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHall – Bratt – Hischier12:03
xG 0.64–0.21 (76%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Boyle – Hayes – Wood7:34
xG 0.32–0.17 (66%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Stafford – Gibbons – Coleman8:44
xG 0.29–0.19 (61%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Zajac – Johansson – Noesen9:51
xG 0.10–0.32 (24%)attempts 5–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestButcher – Santini8:36
xG 0.25–0.01 (96%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Moore – Severson12:44
xG 0.46–0.24 (65%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Greene – Vatanen11:54
xG 0.56–0.44 (56%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).