Tue, Dec 12, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Los Angeles Kings 1, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 05 | 06 | 16 | 117 |
| NJD | 29 | 212 | 15 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:44NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Brian Gibbons, Blake Coleman · Snap, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 16:14NJDTaylor HallPPGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt, Will Butcher · Snap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 15:42NJDTaylor HallUnassisted · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–3
- P2 17:04NJDBrian BoyleAssists: Stefan Noesen, Jimmy Hayes · Snap, 0.04 xG0–4
- P3 12:04LAKTorrey MitchellAssists: Alec Martinez, Kurtis MacDermid · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–4
- P3 19:49NJDBrian GibbonsSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.25 xG1–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:11NJDMiles Wood: Interference2 min
- P1 8:46NJDJohn Moore: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:14LAKAnze Kopitar: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:28LAKTorrey Mitchell: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 7:16NJDNico Hischier: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:16LAKKurtis MacDermid: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:53NJDDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Mitchell – Clifford – Brodzinski2:30
xG 0.18–0.14 (56%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Toffoli – Shore – Pearson3:38
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Lewis – Kempe2:09
xG 0.19–0.21 (47%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Lewis – Shore2:07
xG 0.03–0.07 (29%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – Folin14:25
xG 0.62–0.49 (56%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
- Martinez – Forbort2:46
xG 0.01–0.05 (21%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty14:55
xG 0.23–0.46 (33%)attempts 7–10goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHall – Bratt – Hischier11:37
xG 0.26–0.10 (72%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Zajac – Gibbons – Coleman9:25
xG 0.25–0.17 (59%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Boyle – Hayes – Noesen8:32
xG 0.23–0.19 (55%)attempts 9–5goals 1–1
- Stafford – Wood – Zacha10:54
xG 0.40–0.61 (40%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Butcher14:07
xG 0.50–0.30 (62%)attempts 14–6goals 1–1
- Moore – Vatanen16:05
xG 0.49–0.39 (56%)attempts 12–7goals 2–0
- Butcher – Santini2:51
xG 0.22–0.24 (47%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).