Thu, Dec 14, 2017·TD Garden, Boston
Washington Capitals 5, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 113 | 13 | 36 | 522 |
| BOS | 011 | 113 | 213 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:34WSHJakub VranaAssists: Matt Niskanen · Snap, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 4:22BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Danton Heinen · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 12:05WSHNicklas BackstromPPAssists: Evgeny Kuznetsov, Alex Ovechkin · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–1
- P3 7:52WSHAlex ChiassonAssists: Christian Djoos, John Carlson · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–1
- P3 11:31WSHAlex ChiassonSHGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.16 xG4–1
- P3 16:20BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–2
- P3 18:31WSHAlex OvechkinENAssists: Matt Niskanen · Wrist, 0.51 xG5–2
- P3 19:33BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.08 xG5–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:57BOSPatrice Bergeron: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 6:31BOSAnders Bjork: Holding2 min
- P1 14:04BOSCharlie McAvoy: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 15:02WSHNicklas Backstrom: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:31WSHJakub Vrana: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P2 10:53BOSCharlie McAvoy: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:49WSHChandler Stephenson: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:27WSHDmitry Orlov: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:27BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P3 11:19WSHBrooks Orpik: Interference2 min
- P3 18:31WSHTom Wilson: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:31BOSBrad Marchand: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:48WSHLars Eller: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nash won the faceoff against Backstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestChiasson – Kuznetsov – Vrana5:57
xG 0.55–0.27 (67%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky8:04
xG 0.23–0.46 (33%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson10:04
xG 0.12–0.64 (15%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Beagle – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson9:16
xG 0.15–0.84 (15%)attempts 2–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestNiskanen – Orlov13:14
xG 0.73–0.49 (60%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Orpik – Carlson5:41
xG 0.27–0.20 (58%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Carlson – Djoos7:01
xG 0.30–0.33 (47%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Nash – Heinen6:12
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak9:34
xG 0.41–0.31 (57%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Krejci – Bjork – DeBrusk5:42
xG 0.56–0.47 (54%)attempts 9–8goals 1–2
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari7:22
xG 0.12–0.10 (54%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Miller13:47
xG 0.98–0.22 (82%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy12:04
xG 1.01–0.50 (67%)attempts 23–8goals 1–1
- Krug – McAvoy2:43
xG 0.29–0.04 (87%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).