Thu, Dec 14, 2017·Centre Bell, Montreal
New Jersey Devils 1, Montréal Canadiens 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 112 | 012 | 07 | 01 | 132 |
| MTL | 114 | 07 | 013 | 12 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:21NJDStefan NoesenAssists: Andy Greene, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 13:31MTLAndrew ShawAssists: Jordie Benn, Phillip Danault · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- OT 1:52MTLTomas PlekanecGWGAssists: Charles Hudon, Alex Galchenyuk · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:07NJDBlake Coleman: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:52MTLByron Froese: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:47MTLKarl Alzner: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:26MTLJoe Morrow: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:07NJDJohn Moore: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:05NJDBlake Coleman: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestNoesen – Wood – Zacha10:49
xG 0.36–0.24 (60%)attempts 12–19goals 0–0
- Boyle – Hayes – Lappin8:57
xG 0.21–0.16 (57%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Zajac – Gibbons – Coleman11:19
xG 0.42–0.43 (50%)attempts 9–16goals 0–1
- Stafford – Bratt – Hischier9:14
xG 0.16–0.41 (28%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Santini13:41
xG 0.38–0.15 (72%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Moore – Severson4:05
xG 0.12–0.04 (75%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Severson – Butcher10:18
xG 0.40–0.56 (42%)attempts 13–20goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPlekanec – Gallagher – Hudon8:07
xG 0.28–0.12 (70%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Shaw – Galchenyuk – Drouin9:35
xG 0.31–0.17 (64%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Shaw – Danault3:10
xG 0.17–0.12 (58%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Byron – Pacioretty – Danault6:51
xG 0.18–0.38 (32%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Benn12:55
xG 0.56–0.44 (56%)attempts 20–11goals 1–0
- Petry – Alzner14:05
xG 0.31–0.19 (62%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Alzner – Benn2:04
xG 0.07–0.03 (72%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).