Fri, Dec 15, 2017·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 3, Vancouver Canucks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 113 | 115 | 18 | 01 | 337 |
| VAN | 222 | 110 | 06 | 12 | 440 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:44VANMarkus GranlundPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Deflected, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 10:45SJSBrent BurnsPPAssists: Logan Couture, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 14:27VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Deflected, 0.20 xG1–2
- P2 11:56VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 18:16SJSMarcus SorensenAssists: Justin Braun, Jannik Hansen · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–3
- P3 14:11SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Joel Ward · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
- OT 4:34VANSam GagnerGWGAssists: Alexander Edler, Jacob Markstrom · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:15SJSBrenden Dillon: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 5:39VANAlex Biega: Interference2 min
- P1 10:28VANNic Dowd: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P1 12:20SJSJannik Hansen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:34VANNikolay Goldobin: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:29SJSJustin Braun: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 5:12VANAlexander Burmistrov: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gagner won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestTierney – Labanc – Meier3:53
xG 0.57–0.30 (65%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Ward – Hansen – Sorensen8:52
xG 0.49–0.43 (53%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Donskoi2:28
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Couture – Donskoi – Hertl5:07
xG 0.41–0.50 (45%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Heed – DeMelo7:56
xG 0.14–0.20 (42%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon16:29
xG 0.61–1.13 (35%)attempts 20–14goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Braun19:00
xG 0.82–1.42 (37%)attempts 17–20goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Vanek9:54
xG 1.06–0.52 (67%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Gagner – Boeser12:33
xG 0.81–0.45 (65%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Dowd – Granlund – Gaunce9:17
xG 0.17–0.17 (50%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Burmistrov – Virtanen – Goldobin7:22
xG 0.20–0.26 (43%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBiega – Del Zotto16:00
xG 1.24–0.50 (71%)attempts 17–14goals 0–1
- Edler – Pouliot18:54
xG 0.57–0.29 (66%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Hutton – Stecher11:44
xG 0.29–0.68 (30%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).