Sat, Dec 16, 2017·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 18 | 110 | 08 | 12 | 328 |
| BOS | 07 | 111 | 116 | 01 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:42NYRMichael GrabnerAssists: Kevin Hayes, Brady Skjei · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P2 2:41NYRJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Ryan McDonagh, Brady Skjei · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 17:12BOSDanton HeinenAssists: Zdeno Chara, David Krejci · Slap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 5:38BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Ryan Spooner · Snap, 0.08 xG2–2
- OT 1:56NYRMats ZuccarelloPPGWGAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 9:52NYRPavel Buchnevich: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:00BOSDavid Backes: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:14BOSDavid Krejci: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:46NYRKevin Hayes: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:28NYRMats Zuccarello: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:25BOSRyan Spooner: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:04NYRDavid Desharnais: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 19:28NYRJ.T. Miller: Interference2 min
- P3 3:56NYRBrady Skjei: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 11:20NYRKevin Shattenkirk: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:47BOSJake DeBrusk: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 1:05BOSDavid Pastrnak: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayes won the faceoff against Nash
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGrabner – Hayes – Fast9:38
xG 0.56–0.21 (72%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Carey – Vesey – Nieves6:09
xG 0.07–0.24 (22%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Kreider – Buchnevich8:28
xG 0.23–0.52 (30%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Nash – Zuccarello – Miller9:36
xG 0.36–0.66 (35%)attempts 4–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Skjei11:07
xG 0.78–0.51 (60%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- McDonagh – Holden14:11
xG 0.57–0.41 (58%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- McDonagh – Skjei2:10
xG 0.12–0.19 (39%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak8:55
xG 0.74–0.20 (79%)attempts 19–2goals 0–0
- Backes – Nash – Heinen9:10
xG 0.44–0.58 (43%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari8:44
xG 0.27–0.45 (38%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk6:54
xG 0.13–0.36 (26%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Carlo10:39
xG 0.80–0.24 (77%)attempts 21–7goals 0–0
- Chara – McAvoy10:39
xG 0.31–0.27 (54%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Miller – Grzelcyk12:45
xG 0.70–0.74 (48%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).