Sat, Dec 16, 2017·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 210 | 08 | 110 | 01 | 329 |
| NYI | 114 | 010 | 28 | 11 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:56LAKOscar FantenbergAssists: Tanner Pearson, Tyler Toffoli · Slap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 17:11LAKTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Darcy Kuemper · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
- P1 19:10NYIJosh BaileyAssists: Calvin de Haan, John Tavares · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 4:15NYIJohn TavaresPPAssists: Anders Lee, Josh Bailey · Slap, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 16:44NYIAnders LeeAssists: Ryan Pulock, John Tavares · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 19:47LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Dustin Brown, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–3
- OT 1:54NYIJordan EberleGWGAssists: Mathew Barzal · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:11LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:21NYIScott Mayfield: Interference2 min
- P1 16:44NYIAdam Pelech: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 2:27NYIJason Chimera: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:27LAKTrevor Lewis: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:12LAKMarian Gaborik: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:48LAKTorrey Mitchell: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:50LAKJake Muzzin: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P3 6:27LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:00NYICal Clutterbuck: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Barzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Pearson – Kempe9:56
xG 0.32–0.18 (65%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Lewis – Clifford – Shore7:43
xG 0.39–0.32 (54%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Lewis – Shore2:14
xG 0.01–0.01 (70%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo13:25
xG 0.20–0.55 (27%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFolin – Fantenberg3:17
xG 0.50–0.37 (57%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Martinez – Fantenberg8:45
xG 0.25–0.14 (64%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Doughty17:13
xG 0.64–0.72 (47%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Eberle – Barzal11:36
xG 0.43–0.02 (97%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Bailey – Tavares – Lee9:50
xG 0.71–0.30 (70%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Clutterbuck – Cizikas – Nelson7:59
xG 0.30–0.24 (55%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
- Chimera – Bernier – Beauvillier5:24
xG 0.20–0.25 (44%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Leddy14:01
xG 0.99–0.19 (84%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Pelech – Pulock10:41
xG 0.44–0.33 (57%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- de Haan – Mayfield15:47
xG 0.43–0.87 (33%)attempts 11–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).