Sat, Dec 16, 2017·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Winnipeg Jets 0, St. Louis Blues 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 015 | 021 | 012 | 048 |
| STL | 112 | 06 | 112 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:16STLVladimir TarasenkoPPGWGAssists: Alexander Steen, Colton Parayko · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P3 17:34STLVince DunnPPAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Brayden Schenn · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:22WPGBryan Little: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 8:22WPGAndrew Copp: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:31STLSammy Blais: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:15STLBrayden Schenn: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:28STLPatrik Berglund: Holding2 min
- P2 9:17STLJordan Schmaltz: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:44WPGJoel Armia: Interference2 min
- P3 13:33WPGDmitry Kulikov: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:28WPGPatrik Laine: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 17:28STLCarl Gunnarsson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Copp – Tanev4:53
xG 0.46–0.12 (79%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Little – Ehlers – Laine10:58
xG 0.59–0.46 (56%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Perreault – Lowry – Armia6:31
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor12:15
xG 0.63–0.69 (48%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Kulikov15:57
xG 0.63–0.43 (59%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Chiarot – Poolman9:48
xG 0.42–0.33 (56%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Trouba – Morrissey15:06
xG 0.85–0.89 (49%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Paajarvi – Tarasenko10:31
xG 0.86–0.75 (53%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Upshall – Sundqvist3:49
xG 0.07–0.10 (39%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Sobotka – Berglund – Sundqvist2:16
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Steen – Stastny – Jaskin7:25
xG 0.22–0.36 (38%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGunnarsson – Bortuzzo4:57
xG 0.59–0.28 (68%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Dunn7:58
xG 0.43–0.34 (56%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Gunnarsson – Schmaltz6:53
xG 0.08–0.11 (41%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).