Mon, Dec 18, 2017·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Boston Bruins 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 95% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 07 | 07 | 24 | 218 |
| BOS | 116 | 212 | 417 | 745 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:48BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Zdeno Chara · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 8:23BOSDavid BackesPPAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Danton Heinen · Snap, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 11:53BOSCharlie McAvoyPPGWGAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Danton Heinen · Snap, 0.14 xG0–3
- P3 8:32CBJJosh AndersonAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Jack Johnson · Snap, 0.14 xG1–3
- P3 12:30BOSDanton HeinenAssists: David Backes, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–4
- P3 15:44BOSTorey KrugAssists: Anders Bjork, Ryan Spooner · Slap, 0.03 xG1–5
- P3 17:26BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.16 xG1–6
- P3 18:50BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Ryan Spooner · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–7
- P3 19:46CBJSeth JonesPPAssists: Markus Nutivaara, Josh Anderson · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–7
Penalties (16)
- P1 2:29BOSSean Kuraly: High sticking2 min
- P1 2:53CBJCam Atkinson: Holding2 min
- P1 19:04BOSRiley Nash: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:47CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:06CBJDavid Savard: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 17:01CBJJosh Anderson: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:01BOSZdeno Chara: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:44BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:53CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:53BOSCharlie McAvoy: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 0:53BOSCharlie McAvoy: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:53CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:33BOSJake DeBrusk: Boarding2 min
- P3 4:12CBJMarkus Nutivaara: Interference2 min
- P3 13:06CBJJack Johnson: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 19:31BOSBrandon Carlo: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Anderson – Dubois4:24
xG 0.15–0.06 (70%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Wennberg – Panarin3:12
xG 0.08–0.11 (43%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Foligno – Jenner – Milano3:49
xG 0.05–0.12 (29%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Anderson – Panarin – Dubois3:32
xG 0.06–0.22 (21%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Johnson – Savard2:44
xG 0.01–0.17 (7%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Johnson – Nutivaara12:42
xG 0.38–0.71 (35%)attempts 12–15goals 0–1
- Jones – Werenski11:22
xG 0.19–0.54 (26%)attempts 8–15goals 0–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Schaller – Acciari10:17
xG 1.50–0.18 (89%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Spooner – Bjork – DeBrusk9:00
xG 0.90–0.06 (94%)attempts 17–3goals 2–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak10:34
xG 0.94–0.18 (84%)attempts 17–6goals 2–0
- Backes – Nash – Heinen9:07
xG 0.17–0.35 (33%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Carlo10:15
xG 1.18–0.24 (83%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Miller – Grzelcyk12:18
xG 0.98–0.08 (93%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Chara – McAvoy12:48
xG 0.93–0.37 (72%)attempts 18–8goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 95% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).