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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 19, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:43Martin: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Moore, Gardiner, Martin, Carrick, Kapanen · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Rask, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris

  4. P1 2:52Goal by Komarov (Hainsey, Hyman)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Polak, Komarov, Hyman · CAR Williams, Staal, Skinner, Hanifin, Ryan

  5. P1 3:39Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen4v5
  6. P1 4:12Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen4v5
  7. P1 4:58Jooris: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Kadri, Nylander · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris

  8. P1 4:58Polak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Kadri, Nylander · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris

  9. P1 4:58Jooris: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Kadri, Nylander · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris

  10. P1 5:33Goal by Marner (Rielly, van Riemsdyk)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce

  11. P1 6:10Shot by Hyman, saved by Darling
  12. P1 6:43Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:18Shot by Carrick, saved by Darling
  14. P1 8:17Komarov: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Carrick, Brown · CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Fleury

  15. P1 8:17Williams: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Carrick, Brown · CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Fleury

  16. P1 8:24Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 9:07Goal by Skinner (Teravainen, Fleury)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander · CAR Faulk, Skinner, Rask, Teravainen, Fleury

  18. P1 9:28Pesce: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Moore, Gardiner, Martin, Carrick, Kapanen · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris

  19. P1 10:32Shot by Marner, saved by Darling5v4
  20. P1 10:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Darling5v4
  21. P1 10:34Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Marner)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · CAR Kruger, Slavin, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk

  22. P1 10:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 11:25Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 11:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  25. P1 12:01Shot by Brown, saved by Darling
  26. P1 12:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 12:38Shot by Moore, saved by Darling
  28. P1 12:57Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 13:28Goal by Bozak (Marner)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · CAR Kruger, Faulk, Skinner, Jooris, Fleury

  30. P1 14:20Shot by Brown, saved by Darling
  31. P1 14:56Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  32. P1 15:56Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Darling
  33. P1 15:59van Riemsdyk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · CAR Skinner, Rask, Teravainen, Pesce, Hanifin

  34. P1 16:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen4v5
  35. P1 18:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  36. P1 18:44Kadri: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Carrick, Brown · CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Fleury

  37. P1 19:57Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen4v5
  38. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 1:37Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 3:59Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 4:31Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 4:37Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 5:22Shot by Bozak, saved by Darling
  45. P2 7:31Shot by Marleau, saved by Darling
  46. P2 7:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 9:26Shot by Bozak, saved by Darling
  48. P2 10:07Shot by Marner, saved by Darling
  49. P2 10:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 11:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 12:44Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 13:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Darling
  53. P2 14:51Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 14:59Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 15:57Shot by Kapanen, saved by Darling
  56. P2 16:11Shot by Jooris, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 16:53Shot by Kadri, saved by Darling
  58. P2 17:48Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 18:01Shot by Gardiner, saved by Darling
  60. P2 18:13Shot by Marner, saved by Darling
  61. P2 18:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Darling
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 2:30Shot by Gardiner, saved by Darling
  65. P3 2:40Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 3:06Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 5:02van Riemsdyk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner · CAR Williams, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  68. P3 8:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 8:29Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 9:25Shot by Marleau, saved by Darling
  71. P3 9:25Goal by Marleau (Bozak, Marner)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Borgman · CAR Faulk, Skinner, Slavin, Lindholm, Aho

  72. P3 9:31Goal by Kapanen, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Moore, Martin, Carrick, Kapanen, Borgman · CAR Faulk, Nordstrom, Rask, Hanifin, Ryan

  73. P3 9:56Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 11:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 11:51Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 12:07Shot by Marner, saved by Darling
  77. P3 12:18Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 14:05Goal by Nylander (Hyman)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander · CAR Skinner, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin, Aho

  79. P3 16:45Shot by Martin, saved by Darling
  80. P3 17:18Aho: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander · CAR Skinner, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Aho

  81. P3 18:10Shot by Carrick, saved by Darling5v4
  82. P3 18:20Shot by Marner, saved by Darling5v4
  83. P3 18:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Darling5v4
  84. P3 18:33Goal by Carrick (van Riemsdyk, Bozak)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · CAR Kruger, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm

  85. P3 19:34Shot by Borgman, saved by Darling
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final