Thu, Dec 21, 2017·TD Garden, Boston
Winnipeg Jets 1, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 08 | 013 | 111 | 06 | 1 | 138 |
| BOS | 010 | 08 | 111 | 04 | 2 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 8:16BOSTorey KrugUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 9:13WPGPatrik LaineAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers, Bryan Little · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. WPG Bryan Little scored
- 2. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 3. WPG Patrik Laine stopped
- 4. BOS David Pastrnak scored
- 5. WPG Mark Scheifele stopped
- 6. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 7. WPG Nikolaj Ehlers stopped
- 8. BOS Charlie McAvoy scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 7:00BOSColby Cave: Interference2 min
- P1 13:17BOSDanton Heinen: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:09WPGBen Chiarot: Holding2 min
- P2 5:37BOSPatrice Bergeron: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:33WPGAdam Lowry: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:23WPGMark Scheifele: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Lowry
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestHendricks – Perreault – Armia5:48
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Little – Ehlers – Laine3:08
xG 0.10–0.05 (69%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Lowry – Copp – Tanev8:55
xG 0.15–0.14 (52%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor2:26
xG 0.05–0.04 (55%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChiarot – Poolman10:02
xG 0.36–0.20 (64%)attempts 8–7goals 1–1
- Trouba – Morrissey19:10
xG 0.37–0.80 (32%)attempts 15–21goals 0–0
- Myers – Kulikov16:27
xG 0.41–0.97 (30%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak12:36
xG 1.16–0.36 (76%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
- Backes – Kuraly – Heinen10:49
xG 0.13–0.20 (39%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Schaller – DeBrusk – Acciari6:05
xG 0.04–0.15 (21%)attempts 1–4goals 1–0
- Cave – Bjork – Vatrano5:06
xG 0.03–0.21 (12%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Grzelcyk12:41
xG 0.74–0.10 (88%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Chara – McAvoy14:24
xG 0.65–0.48 (58%)attempts 16–15goals 0–0
- Krug – McAvoy2:21
xG 0.03–0.08 (25%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).