Sat, Dec 23, 2017·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 010 | 111 | 06 | 04 | 0 | 131 |
| CBJ | 19 | 011 | 015 | 01 | 1 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:08CBJSeth JonesPPAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 3:56PHIIvan ProvorovAssists: Claude Giroux, Sean Couturier · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 3. CBJ Artemi Panarin stopped
- 4. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 5. CBJ Pierre-Luc Dubois scored
- 6. PHI Jakub Voracek stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 14:34CBJJack Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:37PHIDale Weise: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 10:04CBJJosh Anderson: Interference2 min
- P3 4:09PHINolan Patrick: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:29CBJArtemi Panarin: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:24PHINolan Patrick: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Giroux
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Couturier – Konecny14:14
xG 1.37–0.26 (84%)attempts 22–10goals 1–0
- Voracek – Raffl – Patrick11:02
xG 0.65–0.61 (52%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Lehtera – Laughton – Leier6:25
xG 0.20–0.24 (46%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Filppula – Simmonds – Weise10:43
xG 0.18–0.60 (23%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Provorov17:05
xG 1.46–0.61 (71%)attempts 21–16goals 1–0
- Gudas – Sanheim12:56
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- MacDonald – Hagg13:23
xG 0.51–1.11 (31%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Panarin – Dubois14:22
xG 1.21–1.15 (51%)attempts 22–13goals 0–0
- Schroeder – Motte – Hannikainen6:51
xG 0.07–0.16 (29%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Calvert – Sedlak – Bjorkstrand9:18
xG 0.22–0.32 (41%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Jenner13:15
xG 0.65–0.97 (40%)attempts 10–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard18:54
xG 0.76–0.63 (55%)attempts 13–20goals 0–1
- Jones – Nutivaara18:55
xG 1.36–1.39 (49%)attempts 28–13goals 0–0
- Harrington – Carlsson10:06
xG 0.31–0.36 (46%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).