Thu, Dec 28, 2017·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vancouver Canucks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 114 | 09 | 19 | 232 |
| VAN | 113 | 17 | 311 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:03VANSam GagnerAssists: Nikolay Goldobin, Thomas Vanek · Tip-in, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 11:22CHINick SchmaltzPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Slap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 13:00VANThomas VanekAssists: Sam Gagner, Brock Boeser · Snap, 0.21 xG1–2
- P3 1:27VANSam GagnerGWGAssists: Thomas Vanek, Brock Boeser · Slap, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 16:29VANThomas VanekAssists: Brock Boeser, Troy Stecher · Snap, 0.29 xG1–4
- P3 18:35VANBrock BoeserAssists: Thomas Vanek, Alexander Edler · Snap, 0.10 xG1–5
- P3 19:51CHIRyan HartmanAssists: Alex DeBrincat, John Hayden · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:00CHIGustav Forsling: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:58VANThomas Vanek: Interference2 min
- P1 11:02VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:54CHIBrandon Saad: Holding2 min
- P2 2:44CHITommy Wingels: Delaying game smothering puck2 min
- P2 7:52VANAlex Biega: Boarding2 min
- P2 7:52VANAlex Biega: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:52CHILance Bouma: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:20VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:16VANTroy Stecher: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Saad – Hartman9:38
xG 0.32–0.01 (98%)attempts 15–1goals 0–0
- Bouma – Wingels – Hayden3:31
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Kane – Schmaltz – Kampf4:31
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Sharp – Hayden – Kampf2:29
xG 0.19–0.21 (47%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Oesterle14:55
xG 0.32–0.21 (60%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Murphy10:34
xG 0.42–0.63 (40%)attempts 13–13goals 1–2
- Forsling – Rutta11:23
xG 0.30–0.71 (30%)attempts 8–9goals 0–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestVanek – Gagner – Boeser11:32
xG 1.07–0.42 (72%)attempts 10–14goals 4–0
- Dowd – Granlund – Gaunce3:20
xG 0.16–0.01 (93%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Dowd – Gaunce – Virtanen3:55
xG 0.04–0.04 (53%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson9:54
xG 0.06–0.14 (29%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher13:37
xG 0.73–0.34 (68%)attempts 12–15goals 2–0
- Del Zotto – Pouliot12:29
xG 0.45–0.30 (60%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton10:36
xG 0.22–0.44 (33%)attempts 4–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).