Tue, Jan 2, 2018·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Boston Bruins 5, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 117 | 312 | 538 |
| NYI | 112 | 08 | 06 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:17BOSDanton HeinenAssists: Riley Nash · Snap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 9:30NYIJordan EberleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 8:28BOSPatrice BergeronGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Danton Heinen · Deflected, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 9:04BOSBrad MarchandAssists: David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P3 15:02BOSTim SchallerAssists: Sean Kuraly, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.25 xG4–1
- P3 17:47BOSNoel AcciariENAssists: Tim Schaller, Kevan Miller · Wrist, 0.62 xG5–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 14:03NYIBrock Nelson: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:09BOSBrandon Carlo: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:38BOSDavid Pastrnak: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:23NYICasey Cizikas: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:54NYIJosh Bailey: Holding2 min
- P3 6:36BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:41NYIAndrew Ladd: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:41BOSTorey Krug: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:41BOSTorey Krug: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barzal won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Schaller – Acciari9:05
xG 0.84–0.18 (82%)attempts 15–8goals 1–0
- Backes – Nash – Heinen11:52
xG 0.32–0.14 (69%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk11:29
xG 0.24–0.59 (29%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak7:55
xG 0.47–1.25 (27%)attempts 11–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Grzelcyk10:22
xG 0.45–0.11 (80%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Chara – Miller2:45
xG 0.16–0.03 (82%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug2:05
xG 0.15–0.07 (67%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestBailey – Tavares – Lee11:44
xG 0.81–0.48 (63%)attempts 16–16goals 0–1
- Chimera – Clutterbuck – Cizikas8:18
xG 0.44–0.39 (53%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Ladd – Eberle – Barzal9:13
xG 0.70–0.65 (52%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Nelson – Prince – Fritz10:54
xG 0.24–0.26 (48%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Pelech10:37
xG 1.49–0.51 (74%)attempts 18–16goals 0–0
- Mayfield – Aho7:52
xG 0.27–0.21 (56%)attempts 8–5goals 0–2
- Pelech – Pulock2:43
xG 0.10–0.07 (60%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).