Tue, Jan 2, 2018·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Anaheim Ducks 5, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 212 | 16 | 29 | 527 |
| VAN | 011 | 012 | 08 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:56ANAAdam HenriqueGWGAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Josh Manson · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 13:44ANARickard RakellAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Andrew Cogliano · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–0
- P2 5:00ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Josh Manson · Deflected, 0.06 xG3–0
- P3 0:20ANAAntoine VermetteAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Rickard Rakell · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–0
- P3 7:21ANADerek GrantAssists: Josh Manson, Nick Ritchie · Wrist, 0.05 xG5–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:17VANMichael Del Zotto: Interference2 min
- P1 11:24ANAAndrew Cogliano: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:35ANAChris Wagner: Interference2 min
- P2 7:14VANTroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:45VANMichael Chaput: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:45ANAChris Wagner: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:15ANAKevin Bieksa: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:11ANAAndrew Cogliano: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Wagner – Shaw6:54
xG 0.50–0.16 (76%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Vermette – Getzlaf – Rakell9:50
xG 0.46–0.24 (66%)attempts 8–5goals 2–0
- Henrique – Roy – Ritchie11:25
xG 0.42–0.49 (46%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg10:41
xG 0.25–0.43 (37%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Montour4:44
xG 0.28–0.09 (75%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Manson – Lindholm12:21
xG 0.46–0.32 (58%)attempts 11–11goals 4–0
- Holzer – Manson4:35
xG 0.16–0.10 (62%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Eriksson – Dowd – Granlund10:26
xG 0.34–0.36 (49%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Chaput – Boucher – Gaunce5:54
xG 0.10–0.15 (40%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Vanek – Gagner – Boeser12:41
xG 0.38–0.57 (40%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Goldobin11:36
xG 0.31–0.70 (31%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Pouliot14:20
xG 0.39–0.24 (62%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher14:54
xG 0.28–0.50 (36%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
- Del Zotto – Tanev14:56
xG 0.75–0.98 (43%)attempts 17–13goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).