Sun, Jan 7, 2018·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
New Jersey Devils 4, New York Islanders 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 021 | 213 | 212 | 00 | 0 | 446 |
| NYI | 110 | 112 | 212 | 04 | 1 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:28NYIAnders LeeAssists: Ryan Pulock, Thomas Hickey · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 4:43NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Marcus Johansson, Sami Vatanen · Backhand, 0.27 xG1–1
- P2 10:44NYIAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Mathew Barzal, Jordan Eberle · Snap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 16:25NJDTravis ZajacSHAssists: Brian Gibbons · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2
- P3 2:41NJDMiles WoodAssists: Will Butcher, Taylor Hall · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 3:18NJDTaylor HallAssists: John Moore, Miles Wood · Backhand, 0.13 xG4–2
- P3 7:58NYISebastian AhoPPAssists: John Tavares, Mathew Barzal · Snap, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 15:43NYICal ClutterbuckAssists: Sebastian Aho, Brock Nelson · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. NYI Jordan Eberle stopped
- 2. NJD Taylor Hall stopped
- 3. NYI John Tavares stopped
- 4. NJD Jesper Bratt stopped
- 5. NYI Mathew Barzal stopped
- 6. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 7. NYI Anders Lee stopped
- 8. NJD Brian Boyle stopped
- 9. NYI Brock Nelson scored
- 10. NJD Brian Gibbons stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:22NYIAnthony Beauvillier: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:41NYIShane Prince: Holding2 min
- P2 6:03NJDBrian Boyle: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:51NYIJason Chimera: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:59NJDPavel Zacha: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:45NYIAlan Quine: Holding2 min
- P3 6:06NJDTaylor Hall: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- OT 2:30NYIJohn Tavares: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Cizikas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Johansson – Palmieri10:05
xG 0.40–0.26 (61%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Boyle – Gibbons – Coleman5:16
xG 0.15–0.34 (30%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
- Gibbons – Wood – Zacha2:40
xG 0.10–0.30 (25%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Hall – Bratt – Hischier9:36
xG 0.20–0.55 (27%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Santini9:57
xG 0.51–0.19 (73%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Moore – Vatanen5:19
xG 0.33–0.14 (70%)attempts 4–4goals 1–1
- Greene – Lovejoy2:14
xG 0.18–0.08 (70%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestTavares – Lee – Quine9:41
xG 0.75–0.26 (74%)attempts 20–6goals 1–0
- Nelson – Prince – Fritz5:06
xG 0.19–0.21 (48%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Eberle – Barzal – Beauvillier10:53
xG 0.40–0.50 (45%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
- Chimera – Clutterbuck – Cizikas8:27
xG 0.23–0.40 (37%)attempts 3–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMayfield – Pelech14:43
xG 0.88–0.49 (64%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
- Hickey – Leddy2:43
xG 0.23–0.07 (78%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Hickey – Pulock9:47
xG 0.17–0.36 (32%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).