Sun, Jan 7, 2018·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
San Jose Sharks 1, Winnipeg Jets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 012 | 115 | 05 | 132 |
| WPG | 19 | 212 | 19 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:42WPGMatt HendricksAssists: Joel Armia, Andrew Copp · Backhand, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 11:03WPGMarko DanoGWGAssists: Jacob Trouba, Andrew Copp · Deflected, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 14:47SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Brent Burns · Slap, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 19:02WPGMathieu PerreaultPPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Tyler Myers · Slap, 0.27 xG1–3
- P3 16:48WPGMathieu PerreaultENAssists: Tyler Myers · Wrist, 0.62 xG1–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:22SJSBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:22WPGMatt Hendricks: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:34WPGMathieu Perreault: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:24WPGJoel Armia: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:46SJSJoonas Donskoi: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:34WPGTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:28WPGDustin Byfuglien: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:37SJSChris Tierney: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P3 1:40SJSMelker Karlsson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wheeler won the faceoff against Tierney
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Ward – Sorensen – Goodrow9:18
xG 0.06–0.07 (46%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Couture – Hertl – Labanc7:46
xG 0.06–0.09 (40%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Tierney – Karlsson – Labanc3:24
xG 0.11–0.18 (38%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Meier11:01
xG 0.51–0.75 (40%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHeed – Ryan9:15
xG 0.09–0.04 (69%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Braun – Dillon2:05
xG 0.04–0.11 (26%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Burns – Heed2:33
xG 0.03–0.11 (20%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Connor – Laine9:42
xG 0.46–0.17 (72%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Hendricks – Wheeler – Roslovic2:06
xG 0.27–0.01 (95%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Matthias – Armia – Copp10:17
xG 0.66–0.44 (60%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Little – Perreault – Ehlers13:43
xG 0.43–0.21 (67%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien14:41
xG 1.05–0.52 (67%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Myers – Kulikov13:19
xG 0.68–0.37 (65%)attempts 11–15goals 1–0
- Trouba – Morrissey15:36
xG 0.27–0.14 (67%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).