Sun, Jan 7, 2018·Centre Bell, Montreal
Vancouver Canucks 2, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 011 | 18 | 117 | 236 |
| MTL | 113 | 115 | 317 | 545 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:39MTLKarl AlznerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 2:12MTLAlex GalchenyukPPAssists: Jeff Petry, Jonathan Drouin · Slap, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 13:04VANDaniel SedinAssists: Alexander Edler, Henrik Sedin · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 2:47VANMichael Del ZottoAssists: Brock Boeser, Daniel Sedin · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 8:44MTLBrendan GallagherGWGAssists: Karl Alzner · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–3
- P3 18:45MTLPaul ByronAssists: Brendan Gallagher · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 19:01MTLMax PaciorettyENAssists: Phillip Danault, Jeff Petry · Wrist, 0.67 xG2–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:10VANTroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:41MTLJakub Jerabek: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:32MTLAndrew Shaw: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:33VANDerrick Pouliot: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:49MTLTomas Plekanec: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:30VANNic Dowd: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00de la Rose won the faceoff against Dowd
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Dowd – Granlund11:28
xG 0.45–0.16 (73%)attempts 16–14goals 0–0
- Vanek – Gagner – Boeser4:12
xG 0.15–0.18 (47%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Chaput – Gaunce – Virtanen7:21
xG 0.16–0.36 (31%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Baertschi2:56
xG 0.00–0.42 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Del Zotto – Pouliot2:39
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Gudbranson13:10
xG 0.36–0.49 (43%)attempts 11–19goals 0–0
- Pouliot – Hutton11:15
xG 0.10–0.66 (13%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPlekanec – Byron – Gallagher9:16
xG 1.02–0.33 (75%)attempts 21–9goals 3–1
- Pacioretty – Danault – Hudon11:46
xG 0.71–0.16 (81%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Shaw – de la Rose7:32
xG 0.37–0.16 (69%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – Lehkonen – Drouin10:06
xG 0.15–0.31 (33%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBenn – Jerabek13:43
xG 0.98–0.23 (81%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Petry – Alzner12:35
xG 1.22–0.52 (70%)attempts 23–18goals 3–1
- Petry – Jerabek2:21
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).