Fri, Jan 12, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vancouver Canucks 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 412 | 19 | 529 |
| CBJ | 111 | 012 | 16 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:33CBJSeth JonesPPAssists: Nick Foligno, Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P2 1:19VANSven BaertschiPPAssists: Thomas Vanek, Sam Gagner · Snap, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 5:38VANErik GudbransonAssists: Loui Eriksson, Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 14:31VANBrendan GauncePPGWGAssists: Thomas Vanek, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 17:15VANAlexander EdlerAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–1
- P3 12:35CBJMatt CalvertAssists: Scott Harrington, Nick Foligno · Slap, 0.02 xG4–2
- P3 19:51VANJake VirtanenENAssists: Markus Granlund · Snap, 0.67 xG5–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:43VANHenrik Sedin: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 19:37CBJZach Werenski: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 12:34CBJLukas Sedlak: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:50VANJake Virtanen: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:39CBJNick Foligno: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestVanek – Gagner – Boeser9:38
xG 0.70–0.08 (90%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson6:13
xG 0.25–0.17 (60%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Baertschi – Gaunce – Goldobin2:20
xG 0.02–0.05 (25%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Granlund4:32
xG 0.03–0.07 (28%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Gudbranson14:21
xG 0.91–0.57 (61%)attempts 16–17goals 1–0
- Tanev – Hutton16:19
xG 0.53–0.35 (60%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher15:05
xG 0.27–0.45 (38%)attempts 13–17goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Calvert – Sedlak8:22
xG 0.41–0.17 (71%)attempts 11–5goals 1–1
- Jenner – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg11:42
xG 0.36–0.13 (74%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Schroeder – Motte – Hannikainen4:54
xG 0.09–0.46 (16%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Anderson – Panarin – Dubois15:04
xG 0.41–0.90 (31%)attempts 21–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard4:42
xG 0.28–0.02 (95%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Johnson – Harrington8:47
xG 0.19–0.15 (57%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Jones – Werenski16:52
xG 0.59–0.64 (48%)attempts 18–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).