Fri, Jan 12, 2018·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 07 | 011 | 114 | 132 |
| CHI | 06 | 212 | 09 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:51CHIDavid KampfAssists: Connor Murphy, Alex DeBrincat · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 16:25CHIJan RuttaGWGAssists: Anthony Duclair, David Kampf · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–2
- P3 16:19WPGPatrik LaineUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 10:17CHIVinnie Hinostroza: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 19:08WPGDustin Byfuglien: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:05WPGDmitry Kulikov: Holding2 min
- P2 10:51CHIPatrick Sharp: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 0:18WPGMathieu Perreault: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:01CHIJonathan Toews: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Copp won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Hendricks – Dano – Roslovic4:13
xG 0.09–0.11 (46%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
- Little – Perreault – Ehlers13:10
xG 0.46–0.49 (48%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- Matthias – Armia – Copp6:32
xG 0.02–0.07 (22%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Armia – Copp – Roslovic3:14
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien14:24
xG 0.61–0.39 (61%)attempts 17–11goals 0–1
- Myers – Kulikov12:46
xG 0.53–0.63 (46%)attempts 9–15goals 0–1
- Trouba – Morrissey14:43
xG 0.22–0.54 (29%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Saad – Hinostroza11:32
xG 0.63–0.29 (69%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Duclair – DeBrincat – Kampf8:11
xG 0.36–0.12 (75%)attempts 7–3goals 2–0
- Kane – Hartman – Schmaltz12:05
xG 0.29–0.51 (36%)attempts 12–15goals 0–1
- Sharp – Bouma – Wingels6:22
xG 0.10–0.38 (20%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestForsling – Rutta13:00
xG 0.53–0.38 (58%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Murphy10:38
xG 0.31–0.27 (54%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Keith – Oesterle15:13
xG 0.47–0.53 (47%)attempts 10–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).